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Beach Snow

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Everything posted by Beach Snow

  1. Beach Snow
  2. Beach Snow
    promising
  3. Beach Snow
    Great better than the NAM
  4. Beach Snow
  5. Beach Snow
    True but then do we worry about temp profiles
  6. Beach Snow
    From DT on twitter. As much as i don’t like him he has a point. Wonder if this will cause implications for the Friday event?
  7. Beach Snow
    Also i don’t think the HRR performance is all that great past it’s normal run. Will be very telling as we get closer within each of its 18hr runs
  8. Beach Snow
    I feel like we would all be way more comfortable and confident if it was the opposite
  9. Beach Snow
    Can you post 500 vort comparison? I don’t see where it ticked SW. Toggling between current run and 6z looks like it’s further east by a hair compared to 6z
  10. Beach Snow
    I’m glad GFS came back west some and shows slight interaction between the NS and SS. However don’t we really want to see this on short range models like the NAM or HRR? Do the globals do a better job than the mesoscale models as far as upper air patterns?
  11. Beach Snow
    The HRR 6z is close but not close enough.
  12. Beach Snow
    Big shift in Canadian
  13. Beach Snow
    Pretty significant shift
  14. Beach Snow
    There is a time when that is valid but there is no way all the “reliable” models have it wrong
  15. Beach Snow
  16. Beach Snow
    I mean 6z NAM had over 14” IMBY and 18z is zip…none. So i would agree
  17. Beach Snow
    I’d give less credit to the NAM post from previous storm and the RGEM has been pretty consistent
  18. Beach Snow
    Has anyone seen the 18z RGEM!!!!
  19. Beach Snow
    I agree with this statement and that this is probably a classic NE NC SE Va with some expansive precip shields N and W like typical setups. Seen this snow setup pan out with a big event every 4-5 years or so. If Mets just solely relied on models what is the point then? AKQ issued watch for 6-8 in SE Va NE NC with the afternoon package
  20. Beach Snow
    Man RGEM not a good trend…scared to see others at 12z
  21. Beach Snow
    I think we need to see what RGEM will show. The RGEM is superior to the NAM
  22. Beach Snow
    cMC has been a rock over the last 3 days of runs
  23. Beach Snow
    I think the NAM is too amped. Not that it matters but it really didn’t handle the past storm well in its 60-84 frames
  24. Beach Snow
    Really good model consensus tonight. Seems like each model adjusted to almost the same qpf range and snowfall axis. Not to mention most appear to have the same LP placement off NC.
  25. Beach Snow
    GFS looks better throwing precip all the way back to western NC
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