FHS

I'm really sorry guys for being so rude and harsh to you few true weather lovers yesterday, especially you few guys that try to be nice to me, as fake as it may be ;). the fact that you try says alot about you. I think you're a good bunch of guys, I don't think you guys are selfish and ignorant in any way other than your talk of mid and late springs snows. I'm beat up tired ,sore temporarily broke and have been giving it my all for weeks with weeks to go. It's my crab season and I don't want my crabs stolen . Not to mention auxins and mid stage hormonal cycles in plants and animals are to progressed already this spring for it let alone the 15th. (The need to grow and reproduce will override the ability to go dormant in some plants and animals) but FHS is also tired of explaining and giving info he should be thanked for. Remember FHS is autistic and a true dyslexic not a retard . Until we get that straight I may always be grumpy here Though this last attitude was all me and unjustified to a nice bunch of winter loving dudes and I apologize for that.

Lets kill 3/4 of cpa crops ,stress trees and all low low lying vegetation for the whole summer, kill aquatic species of amphibians and reptiles and wipe out half there eggs for the season. and it goes on and on and on. This is not the kind or year or the time. I like all you guys but Ignorance and selfishness is what your portraying . Think of me as you might but that's what you are doing no matter how you see it.

I wounder if like a good neighbor State Farm is there?

Snapping turtles, spring peepers pickerel frogs and some snakes all emerged weeks ago. Even toads emerged in march and I have never seen that from toads. frogs toads and turtles have been a top interest in my life since I could walk. I remember everything frog and toad and don't forget. Over the past two years I have seen toads in December and mid March, both are first for me and would imagine not common especially toads active and feeding in December.

mating, spawning and all things birds and the bees are also early this spring compared to most over the last few decades. When I was a kid I was usually able to catch tadpoles on my fathers birthday , but my son had to wait until after most years . Some frog and toad eggs already have visible tadpoles inside so they will be hatching very soon this spring and there is still 10 days until my fathers birthday.

I too agree this has been one hell of a splendid spring to go along with a good winter, It feels 90's retro. This spring just needs some good lightning over the coming weeks and this could be one of my favorite springs I get more excited about 17 year cicada top water fishing every day. The good stuff is back for a few years fellows.

Apr 9, 2021 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Apr 9 06:09:21 UTC 2021 (Print Version | | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table Categorical Tornado Wind Hail Pop. Cities CWAs RFCs Interstates Counties ARTCC FEMA Tribal Categorical Day1 1200Z Outlook Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area MODERATE 26,700 1,593,819 Jackson, MS...Monroe, LA...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...Vicksburg, MS... ENHANCED 111,610 6,198,051 Birmingham, AL...Shreveport, LA...Tyler, TX...Broken Arrow, OK...Fort Smith, AR... SLIGHT 173,255 22,915,579 Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Atlanta, GA...Tulsa, OK...Arlington, TX... MARGINAL 281,589 48,264,479 Houston, TX...Detroit, MI...Indianapolis, IN...Fort Worth, TX...Oklahoma City, OK... Forecast Discussion SPC AC 090609 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 AM CDT Fri Apr 09 2021 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...SUMMARY... A complex severe-weather scenario is expected to unfold across the Mid-South into the Southeast late this morning through the afternoon and overnight hours. Significant severe storms, including widespread damaging winds, and at least a few tornadoes are expected across portions of northeast Louisiana into Mississippi, especially overnight. Large hail is also expected to be a concern, mainly during the day across parts of eastern Oklahoma into the Arklatex region. ...Synopsis... Broad cyclonic mid-level flow will prevail across the eastern half of the CONUS through the period, with multiple embedded impulses supporting deep moist convection across several areas spanning from the Southeast towards the Mid Atlantic and extending into portions of the Ohio Valley. Scattered strong storms (a few of which may be severe) are expected to first initiate by mid morning into early afternoon within a warm-air advection regime across portions of AL into GA and the FL Panhandle as a weak mid-level impulse exits the area. Later in the day, this same mid-level impulse is expected to support an organized cluster of storms across VA into NC. However, the main severe threat will begin during the afternoon hours and continue into the overnight period as multiple, potentially highly organized rounds of storms are expected to traverse portions of the Southeast, with all facets of severe possible. More isolated severe is possible along portions of the cold front, mainly during the day, across portions of the Ohio Valley. ...Portions of the Southeast - Midday... Storms are expected to gradually expand in coverage and intensity across portions of eastern AL into western GA with the onset of diurnal heating. Deep-layer wind fields are not expected to be overly strong, with small looping hodographs supporting multicells and occasional transient supercell structures. Modestly steep (7 C/km) low and mid-level lapse rates will support damaging gusts and large hail with the more organized updrafts. ...Portions of the Southern Plains into the Mid-South... As the first in a series of mid-level impulses traverses portions of the Mid-South area by early afternoon, the first rounds of convective initiation are expected across the warm sector, from southeast KS, eastern OK into southern MO and western AR. 7-8.5 C/km low and mid-level lapse rates atop mid to upper 60s surface dewpoints are expected to foster MLCAPE over 2000 J/kg in advance of a dryline, though convective inhibition is expected to limit the coverage of convection southwestward to a degree across portions of east-central TX into southwest LA. Relatively weak wind fields, especially below 3 km, suggest that multicellular clusters with an occasional transient supercell will be the predominant storm mode initially, with a few clusters potentially growing upscale into MCSs via cold pool mergers. The steep low-level lapse rates will promote an organized damaging-wind threat with any of the more intense linear segments that form, while large hail (including a few stones exceeding 2 inches in diameter) and perhaps a tornado may accompany the longer-lived, more discrete updrafts. Currently, confidence is lowest in the coverage of severe hail (especially 2+ inch stones) given the possibility for linear modes, and downgrades to hail probabilities may be needed in future outlooks. ...Parts of the Southeast - late afternoon and overnight... By late afternoon into early evening, the main mid-level impulse and associated forcing for ascent is expected to eject into the Southeast, with a potentially more organized MCS expected to develop somewhere near the Arklatex area and progress across Mississippi into Alabama overnight. Despite the potential for multiple rounds of multicellular clusters across the Southeast (a few of which may support damaging winds, large hail, or a brief tornado), a healthy fetch of steep low to mid-level lapse rates is expected to accompany the nocturnal MCS, promoting a widespread damaging-wind threat. The approach of the main upper support will also result in a considerable low-level mass response and subsequent strengthening of the low-level flow. Over 200 m2/s2 0-1km SRH will support organized QLCS circulations embedded within the MCS and associated tornado threat. The MCS will continue into central AL through 12Z Saturday, with a damaging-wind threat persisting. ...Virginia into North Carolina... Modest ascent associated with a passing mid-level impulse is expected to be timed with the diurnal heating cycle across portions of VA into NC, with organized thunderstorm development during the afternoon. 7+ C/km low and mid-level lapse rates are expected to emanate east of the Appalachians supporting vigorous updraft development and sustenance. Relatively weak tropospheric wind profiles suggest that multicellular convection will be the dominant mode, with damaging gusts and large hail possible. However, a warm front is expected to be draped across southern VA during the day. Any storms that can anchor to the warm front may acquire more transient supercell structure with a locally heightened threat for wind and hail, and a brief tornado cannot be completely ruled out. The warm front will continued to be monitored for a possible Slight risk upgrade in later outlooks. ...Portions of the Ohio Valley... A cold front is expected to persist across the Ohio Valley during the day, with modest upper support overspreading the region. While convective coverage will be relatively sparse in nature, any storms that develop will be atop a dry boundary layer and associated steep lapse rates. With up to 60 kt 700 mb flow expected atop this dry boundary layer, efficient downward momentum transport may support a couple damaging gusts with the more robust convection, mainly during the mid to late afternoon hours

you can not see the beavers from the roads you need to walk around the circled inlet for about 30 mins to get to them but its a great small hike. beautiful rock and tree lichens, edible mushrooms, beavers, and lots of low lush green plants and moving water on that trail. Its best off trail in that part so go soon.

well it should have not looked like that today but that is the normal look from around 3rd week November until late Feb.

It could be lower than usual but in past years beaver creek runs right through the center of the circled part of the picture, and its just all sediment in the winter there with small creeks running through it. It should have looked like a mud delta when you saw it.

If you find patches of skunk cabbage the morels are just a little higher and dryer

that path i mention is also great for finding chicken of the woods and morels in a few weeks , Just make sure to leave some for fhs

Pin If you walk over the wooden walking bridge near the parking lot in the circled area and continue to walk the trail until you get to beaver creek all the beaver homes and dams at the end of the creek and beginning of the lake are completely exposed . One of wood bridges to get to the beavers has been washed our for a few years but is a very easy jump across the spring creek . The beavers will be fine, Pinchot lake like many lakes is actually lowers it water level every winter to control sediment and to help keep bass spawning habitat where it needs to be. They are just keeping it low longer this year

I shot the biggest rabbit of my life last night trying to enter my home, at 6'3" 223lbs he is meat for months.

I ended up dropping to 26 on Thurs and 28 Friday but I found no damage to any plants or even flower petals in my immediate area or Mechicsburg yet, and I looked all day while working . I say yet because It can take a few days or more for light cellular damage to become visible depending species . If there was bad damage it would already be visible .