I believe the EURO is correct for my area here in Franklin, NH at Webster Lake. I live at 215 FASL right on the lake. In October we had no more than a coating on my deck. I am not expecting anything more than an inch or two from this storm. My lake is still fluid and at 46 deg not even close to 39 deg. This is a giant heat sink that must be overcome to get to freezing for surrounding area. I really hope the NWS reconsiders their warnings with these latest model runs. This is causing anxiety during a already dire situation with COVID19. My son who is studying meteorology and is from Texas has stated this major winter storm is going to happen and worse his professor is backing this based on certain models! We need to look at all models and not cherry pic the ones that look good. If you look at this from a numerical and astro physics along with statistical and probability point of view it just doesn’t add up. There just isn’t enough cold air and dynamics to support this large volume of frozen precipitation forecasted, unless this converges perfectly which at this time is a very low probability. A Model is a probability as well as a forecast at that given point in time not 24 hours later. I understand we had a AN November but to hype our first marginal cold disturbance is wrong. It gives future Mets the wrong perspective and teaches them to rely to much on models and not to look at the data and say does this make sense? Math, physics statistics and probability theory must also be used and understood. Does this probability event shown by a model make sense. Forecasting by wish casting or model emotion does no good too the meteorology profession. I am sorry if I upset anyone.