ineedsnow

ya thats a no go

how is a HWW gust up to 45 mph?

High wind watches for eastern Ma nothing in CT sorry Kev

GFS is meh compared to other models

RGEM floods!

its on tropicaltidbits

FV3 HI RES looks like it could be fun

ya true 50 more miles would be good.. but I wouldnt mind that run now

even inland areas get it good

not as much rain... you would think it would be more with a storm like that

Big windstorm

ya hr 60 and beyond will be fun I think

NAM trying to form our next named storm woah

hr42 996mb

NAM at hr 36 looks tropical?

12 NAM bumping up for tonight before the main show even starts

I think its pretty much a lock for heavy rain.. How much who knows yet hopefully 12z gives us a idea

6z GFS has the fantasy storm again

Started a thread so I don't clog this one up anymore

Models showing the potential for a major Noreaster discuss.. 1) heavy rain and potential for urban and street flooding given ample moisture and lift (low level jet of 60-70 kts at 925 mb!). Ensemble means are painting a widespread 3-5 inches of rain through Wednesday evening while some deterministic runs show as much as 8-10 inches. Though widespread amounts of this magnitude are unlikely, it is a concerning signal/trend, and urban/small stream flooding is a concern. The ECMWF probability of 4 inches of rain is 70-80%! (and 30-60% chance of that much within 24 hours). One additional concern this time of year is fallen leaves clogging storm drains, exacerbating street flooding.

Not spamming at all the potential is there 1) heavy rain and potential for urban and street flooding given ample moisture and lift (low level jet of 60-70 kts at 925 mb!). Ensemble means are painting a widespread 3-5 inches of rain through Wednesday evening while some deterministic runs show as much as 8-10 inches. Though widespread amounts of this magnitude are unlikely, it is a concerning signal/trend, and urban/small stream flooding is a concern. The ECMWF probability of 4 inches of rain is 70-80%! (and 30-60% chance of that much within 24 hours). One additional concern this time of year is fallen leaves clogging storm drains, exacerbating street flooding.

a little bit of frost again this morning

just hitting peak here

0z EURO is 5 to 9 for most

NHC with a 20 percent chance now