ineedsnow

just saw that Jeff Morrow is on the weather channel.. I thought hes been gone for awhile

Pouring in Gardner

UKIE has a ton of qpf in western areas

exactly

heat I can live without A/C I cant

I put mine back in tonight.. the 5 minutes was well worth it

who knows it might not even survive the next couple days

following one looks the same but far out

Tropical Storm Philippe Discussion Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023 500 PM AST Tue Oct 03 2023 Philippe has continued to lose organization for much of the day. Satellite images and aircraft fixes from this morning indicate that the circulation has become elongated, and the remaining deep convection has relatively little, if any, organization relative to the center, which is now located just north of the Virgin Islands. The initial intensity remains 40 kt based on the earlier SFMR data, but this could be generous given the overall loss of convective organization. The current motion is northwestward, or 310/10 kt. Over the next couple of days, Philippe is expected to turn northward between a strong mid-level high over the subtropical Atlantic and a developing cut-off low east of Florida, with its forward speed increasing in 2-3 days when it becomes positioned between these two features. The northward motion is expected to continue through the end of the forecast period as another deep-layer trough moves eastward across eastern North America. The most notable change in this NHC forecast is that the guidance has again shifted westward, both due to an adjustment caused by Philippe's recent motion and a general westward trend in the track guidance. The official forecast is close to the TVCA consensus aid, but it's not as far to the west as the latest ECMWF and HCCA solutions. The risk continues to increase for some form of Philippe, likely as a post-tropical cyclone, to reach Atlantic Canada or eastern New England in about 5 days. The deep-layer trough located near the east coast of the United States is likely to keep moderate-to-strong westerly or southwesterly shear over Philippe for much of the forecast period. As a result, little change in strength is forecast during the next 2-3 days. The GFS and ECMWF are now in good agreement that a separate baroclinic/non-tropical low will develop just to the west of Philippe in about 3 days. These two systems are likely to interact, with Philippe becoming attached to the warm front, and therefore becoming extratropical, by day 4. It's possible that Philippe could strengthen slightly due to this baroclinic interaction, and that scenario is shown in the official forecast.

Goodluck

Ya EPS looks interesting for sure

Another west shift at 12z. Looks like a very rainy saturday

Ya I've been watching it the last few days.. could be interesting if things continue

Congrats Maine?

Lol

night and day so close in

? that low that gets trapped is from the low that forms later this week.. Philippe is way out in the eastern atlantic by hr 270

Congrats canada?

Noticed a ton late yesterday