WinterWxLuvr

I’m still going 5-7 with 13” lollis 

I’d like to see the WB maps. Seems they are always different.

16 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Would be great to get a slight south trend with colder air so we get the secondary precip max across the DC/Balt metros. Given the makeup of this winter, that certainly isn't out of the question. 

I’m ok with where it is

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

NAM time!  Rejoice!  

At some point in the next 4 runs I expect the NAM to come in with basically no storm or with 4-8” across the region. Probably both.

I’m expecting 5-7 with a jackpot possibility of 13.

19 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Does Conway still have that Inn where the Marx brothers performed some ?

Not sure. But it has a great view of Mount Washington and a great climate

28 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

This. My whole childhood 

I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. 

55 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Everybody ready?

Told y’all the euro would be better. 6z was a harbinger 

Just now, stormtracker said:

Early yet...but a carbon copy of 6z so far

Hour 3?

Everybody ready?

The gfs run has possibilities 

Wonder when they’ll issue warnings?

36 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Watch vort spacing on this, better to have more between the day prior and this event. Again, we'd want this slower. 

Problem is “this” is barely even discernible on the h5 maps.

54 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Yeah. It kind of surprised me as well. I havent noticed an earlier planting cycle at all. 

Not at all. The one true constant, no matter what the recent climate is, spring sucks in this part of the country. Miserable couple of months usually.

38 minutes ago, Ji said:

i need to move out of leesburg

I’m thinking Saranac Lake, Conway NH, or somewhere between there and about Auburn ME

19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Get whatcha get and you don’t get upset.

Or, as my girlfriend would say… you don’t pitch a fit. Blew my mind when she said it that way. Must be a regional thing.

Mine says the exact same. 

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Yeah we take for sure. 1-3” to 2-4” seems best case. At least all models have it this time 

Wait until about 1:15. That 6z euro run was a harbinger 

When do we start the rescue thread lol?

Do weather models take soil moisture into account? Gotta believe that wind over saturated soils has some effect on precipitable water available.

18 hours ago, clskinsfan said:

I dont how many are gardeners in here. But the USDA updated their zone maps this year. I was moved into a warmer zone here. I was moved from a 6B to a 7A. That is a pretty major difference in planting schedule. And basically ends their thoughts of me getting frosts here into mid May. I was actually kind of shocked. Because we had a really cold spring last year. And I had my last frost on May 7th. Type your zip code into this map and you can see what the temperature change for your area has been since 2012. Mine was 4 degrees.

https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/

They may change things but we have had frosts here almost every year for the past 5 or 6 at or after May 10

RGEM was a move north. 

Did they not run the eps?

26 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

LR modeling has be atrocious at best. Far better accuracy just looking at climo and making a forecast off that. 

Or off your insecurities 

That euro run …. lol. I guess we should still wait for the eps