The 6z para at least leaves the door open to chances. I also thought the 6z regular gfs looked better.
I think @leesburg 04 is on to something. I already know he’s on something. By tomorrow morning I think we will have a much clearer picture of what’s coming.
There is so much suppression that literally nothing can hold together or climb north at all. The same thing that is eliminating cutters is also eliminating everything else. We have to get some relaxation in that confluence.
Draw a line from about Paducah to Cleveland. Lows to the south of that line can deliver a good thump at the very least. North of that, I agree with you.
Where was December cold? January is above normal here but mainly due to overnight lows. Both months have been pretty much the same with Jan running about 2 degrees cooler than December