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Everything posted by jculligan
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They've been pretty consistent with the Monday/Tuesday deal - I think that's going to be an ugly, ugly event for us. But I'm a little more optimistic about the event to follow on 12/3-4. The Euro still shows rain with that one for now, but I think there's a better chance of that shifting to a more agreeable solution. We'll see. I know the Vermonters here are at or above normal in the snowfall department this month, but I can't imagine that's the case here. To be eeking my way toward a 1" seasonal total on November 25th at 1500' has to be below normal here. Relative to normal, I think the Route 16 corridor from Jackson down toward Ossipee has had it the worst so far. We don't get the upslope, and we missed the two synoptic events that delivered snow to other parts of the state on 10/17 and 10/30.
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Scared of the 7"+ rainfall jackpot over my location on next week's cutter, per the 00z Euro. Holy Moses.
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19F with light snow this morning. Looks like we may be in this for a little while longer, but the models have the best lift shifting north by mid-morning so this is probably another 1/4" deal here. Still, we will finally break 1" on the season lol. I'm intrigued to see what happens with round two later tonight into tomorrow morning. The mid-levels warm significantly, but this is some pretty solid cold air entrenched in my CAD-prone location. I think we could be in for a pretty decent glazing in these parts. We'll be lucky to sniff 30 today.
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Surprised to wake up to a dusting of snow this morning with mood flakes in the air. While we don't get the "real" upslope snows in my location, the surprise dustings are nice to wake up to for someone used to the eastern Massachusetts climate. Last night's wind launched one of my heavy cedar chairs about 20 feet off the front porch, which was perhaps the bigger surprise to wake up to. It got pretty rough up here around 7-8pm last night! 27F and calm with flakes flying right now.
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Very gusty night here. My anemometer is in a very sheltered spot and almost never gets decent gusts, but it managed to register a gust to 42 mph around 7pm this evening. No snow here on the downslope side of the ridge, but winter is roaring back in this evening.
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After another quarter inch of snow/sleet yesterday evening, we eventually went to rain during the overnight. It was 33F and raining when I woke up at 5:30am, but there were icicles hanging off my roof so it was obviously freezing rain for a time. But that additional 0.3" of snow almost brings me up to a full inch on the season.... Currently 36F and raining quite steadily with 0.70" in the bucket so far.
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And the October 17th anafront event. That has actually been the largest event in New Hampshire so far. I wasn't active on the board then, but I hiked Mount Moosilauke that day and I'd estimate a foot of snow with some hip deep drifts on the summit cone. It snowed all the way down to road levels on the other side of Crawford Notch that day. We had about 2.3" of rain in my location instead.
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It's another fun night to watch the local thermometers. I found a 33-degree reading on Town Hall Road (735') meanwhile it's 50F at my place and 54F at 1680 feet. There's a thermometer less than a mile away and 200' lower which is 38F compared to my 50F. Super shallow inversion!
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Classic CAD day here on the eastern slope. Started the day at 10F and we've crept our way up to 26F as of 1pm. Looks like the SNOTEL site at Hermit Lake (3900') is up to 35F, so a pretty solid inversion. I'm envisioning many days like this.
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22 degrees at 12:15pm. Hard to believe we were pushing 80 a little over a week ago. Solid negative departure on the day today, that's for sure.
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I logged our total as 0.3" overnight, but at least there was a somewhat whitened landscape to wake up to this morning. This brings my total up to 0.6" on the season lol. The synoptic storms will come. Last night's Euro is trying to throw us a bone the night before Thanksgiving. La Nina winters tend to be active up here, so I think my patience will ultimately pay off, especially (as others have mentioned) I'll have a little bit of immunity to cutters in this CAD-prone area. Once the snow is here, it's going to take a lot for it to go away.
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Actually managed to get into a little streamer of sorts, and we've had some pretty decent snow here for the last 45 minutes or so. I'll take an official measurement at midnight, but this is the most solid dusting we've had so far this season lol.
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After a round of morning show showers left another immeasurable dusting, we ended up having a mix of sun and clouds most of the day. Still waiting for our first inch at 1500' in the eastern Whites.
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Just the very slightest of dustings here - not enough to measure yet, but it's a snow globe outside at the moment. If this continues to another hour or so I might be able to log a couple tenths ha. I'll take it this month!
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Couple of decent opportunities for snow on the not-too-distant horizon. As a backcountry skier, I'm happy with snow even when it's confined to the higher terrain...and I'm watching Sunday night as it does have the "sneaky" potential to be predominantly snow in the alpine. Not a major event, but just a few inches of snow followed by next week's cold weather could mean we are finally laying down the foundation of the seasonal snowpack up at 4k feet. At lower elevations (including my place) I think there could be a couple/few hours of snow at the outset, but this will definitely favor the CAD-prone regions on the eastern slope versus those of you in VT and western NH. Next we watch a potential WINDEX event with Tuesday's arctic front, followed by limited upslope potential for the Vermonters in its wake...but I'm becoming very interested in the Thursday night/Friday timeframe next week for a true regionwide light to moderate event followed by a re-loading of the cold air next weekend. I think we've turned the corner, folks...at least for now.
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Euro putting down 1-2" of snow in the White Mountains with the weak wave progged to move through tomorrow afternoon. Boundary layer looks questionable, so I'm anticipating little accumulation below 2500' but always hoping for a surprise ha. The higher peaks should have a more wintry look to them this weekend anyway.
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We "only" hit 67F today but the temperature is really holding up there tonight. I dare say it's even a bit muggy out there. Currently 65/60 which is the warmest it has been at this hour during this entire stretch. The Euro has completely flip flopped in the long range, and actually has a promising look to it here in the North Country with even some synoptic snow chances later next week. I'm not confident that will verify, but at least it looks to return to typical November chill if not below normal for a couple/few days. Let's hope this pattern has reached high tide.
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Clouds rolled in and curbed our temp at 67F. At least it looks more like November out there now.
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Last day of outrageous departures up here. Started out at a balmy 52F and as the sun crests the hill behind my house we are already up to 58F at 8am. This will almost certainly be the fifth day of 70+ at this elevation, which hasn't happened since 9/25-9/29. Looking forward to getting back to somewhat more typical November temps from tomorrow through the weekend, and then perhaps some negative departures next week. Wildcat bumped back its opening day from 11/13 to 11/20, and I think they'll get a several day window for snowmaking next week so that should be achievable. Not dwelling too much on the super long range ha.
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High of 78F up here today. I almost began questioning my equipment, but there is a thermometer at 1483' in Jackson that hit 77F and another thermometer in Jackson village that also hit 78F. So deep mixing allowed locations from the valley floor on up to 1500' to spike into the upper 70s today. This has to be all-time record territory for November in this part of the state.
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Definitely the most pronounced inversion I've seen up here this morning. 38 degrees in Jackson village (863'), 53 degrees at my place, 59 degrees at Hermit Lake on Mount Washington (3875'). That temperature at Hermit Lake is about 10 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. Today could be a run for all-time November records I think.
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Absolutely. There's a thermometer in Jackson Village (863') that has logged the following compared to my numbers (again in red): 11/5: 69/26 (65/33) 11/6: 72/39 (69/48) 11/7: 76/50 (75/54) 11/8: 75/41 (70/50) 11/9: 73/34 (72/48) A 14-degree difference between my place and the village this morning, but yet a difference of only 1 degree this afternoon.
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It's been fun looking at all of the mesoscale temperature patterns on local thermometers around here during this stretch. I found another site which is 180' higher and about two miles away as the crow flies, and they have logged the following (compared to my numbers in red): 11/5: 66/34 (65/33) 11/6: 69/50 (69/48) 11/7: 74/59 (75/54) 11/8: 72/50 (70/50) 11/9: 72/48 (72/48) The low temperatures on the morning of 11/7 were nothing short of remarkable around here. I am anticipating we'll see something similar on Wednesday morning as well. I think my average high temp for this date should be somewhere in the mid 40s, so to have overnight lows in the mid 50s is quite extreme.
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I know it's not what most want to talk about, but from a historical perspective I would imagine this is approaching all-time record territory for the first and second week of November at this latitude and elevation. Here at 1500' this is the last five days: 11/5: 65/33 11/6: 69/48 11/7: 75/54 11/8: 70/50 11/9: 72/48 It looks like we have two more days of outrageous departures to go. We didn't have a stretch even remotely this warm for this long during all of October.
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Only managed 0.3" here last night, but it's our first measurable of the season so I'll take it! 28 degrees with a few stray flakes still flying right now.