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jlh

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Everything posted by jlh

  1. jlh
    Not with the ridge directly north near the Canadian/NY border, it will follow the jet to the NNE until it occludes in New England.
  2. jlh
    Central NC, found your problem with getting missed by snow... That pesky heat low will get you every time. lol
  3. jlh
    Temp 39.9|Dew 31.1|Wet Bulb 35.1|Wind NNW 4|Overcast.
  4. jlh
    Temp down to 42.3, dewpoint lowered to 30. Wind changed from variable to North-Northeast 5-10mph consistent. Virga overhead.
  5. jlh
    They progged us to get up to 50 but it didn't happen here either, capped at 45ish and down to 42 now. Hoping we might get down to wet bulb sooner as a result.
  6. jlh
    Almost 3pm, I am willing to bet that will be it. Hoping the fact that we stayed several degrees cooler than progged today will get is down to the sweet spot sooner tonight.
  7. jlh
    Interesting tidbit, not sure how you faired with your max temp today however, we were progged to get up to 49-50 this afternoon but the cloud deck never gave through and we maxed at 45, has since fallen to 43.
  8. jlh
    Sounds like a jolly good time to go for a stroll in an automobile.
  9. jlh
    Wonder how much isn't virga at this point
  10. jlh
    that's always a fun one
  11. jlh
    GFS will giveth 2 feet, then GFS will taketh 1.9 feet.
  12. jlh
    Thanks! I was thinking about those accums too, really is a roll of the dice this time. I am hoping surface temps drop a little faster than what the some of the models are hinting at otherwise I will be having a good time watching it convert to water on the ground. I'll take some good banding though, will put a little more on the ground regardless.
  13. jlh
    Definitely, with the exception of the edge of the main show in NE and E NC.
  14. jlh
    Something that was discussed at one of the mid-atlantic NWS offices this morning. Can't remember if it was AKQ or further north but they mentioned the dynamics playing to an earlier phase.
  15. jlh
    Started with a morning low of 26. Current at 43 and rising, dew point 31, overcast with light and variable wind. METAR HOME 281613Z 10002KT 10SM OVC120 06/M01 A2981 for my aviation folks...
  16. jlh
    NWS has our window of snowfall from 12am to 7am with point and click graph having us above freezing until 6am lol. Explains why our expected accumulation dropped last night. Most likely a product of the low closer to the coast. Will be interesting to see how these other sniffs play out.
  17. jlh
    Surface low evident just north of the Bahamas and near Canaveral on the 10Z station plots. Strap in lads and ladies, game on.
  18. jlh
    WSW extended south into Hampton Roads and Currituck, NC. Blizzard warning for Northampton Co. VA, just north of Hampton Roads. Guess AKQ is biting on the slightly higher totals/rates of the higher res models. Discussion not out yet to see which model was verified. Too early for me to dig into it lol.
  19. jlh
    Seems as though my morning coffee run is going to be good to go. Cloudy with a chance of wind lolol.
  20. jlh
    Upslope flow from the NE, called orographic lift. Causes moisture to lift against the mountains and condense, forming precip. That is a separate event from the discussed mesolow, but the presence of it can help the upslope if it's in the right position.
  21. jlh
    Just your average popcorn variety snow. lol
  22. jlh
    Very close to the depicted good stuff, will be most interesting to see how the dynamics set up for precip field.
  23. jlh
    Definitely more believable honestly, I know Hampton Roads has had a few really good nor'easters in decades past where there was double digit numbers, but frankly that's uncommon. Was nice to see some of the models 12"+ a few days ago but realistically that's hard to get where we are.
  24. jlh
    Willing to bet the TV folks will be adjusting this evening for the news.
  25. jlh
    May not matter a whole lot if that dry slot sets up over us. It's all good though, i'll take whatever. Last weekend kind of made the season for us lol.
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