MN Transplant

Ravens vs Vikings next week. Two teams trying to resurrect their seasons.

I consider the dotted lines of clouds from NNE to SSW today to be gravity wave clouds from terrain induced rising and falling air. I realize this doesn't help if you aren't currently in the western areas, but look for something similar in the future. Lenticular is going to be really tough around here, especially outside of isolated thunderstorm season (for pileus).

Airports have all gusted in the 40-45mph range. Peak MD Mesonet gust right now is 39mph. Will be funny to see the inflatable Halloween decorations in the wind this evening, though it won't be as gusty.

1.09” for the morning report. Highest single day report since July 15th.

It is overly sensitive to terrain.

Going to be chilly and breezy for trick-or-treating on Friday.

The 12z HRRR is a trouncing for me. Around 3".

Yeah, a chilly day today with mid-50s, a breeze, and overcast.

9 at bats, 9 times on base. That is unreal.

Jamaica's coastline is relatively steep in most places, so the surge is less likely to be a concern. Rainfall and wind are the big-ticket items here. This is probably more akin to Maria in PR as anything else.

Depends on the location. Jamaica has mostly block structures, which is helpful, but how are the roofs going to fare if this does land as a Cat 4+? The wind will be very damaging to housing and infrastructure. The HAFS make me worry about Montego Bay on the NW side.

Have we ever seen a cat 5 hurricane make a massive change in direction while maintaining strength?

No, it was slightly below normal but nothing special. It was not colder than 2014-2015 or 2013-2014. They haven't updated the Winter column for 24-25, but you can do your own math: https://www.weather.gov/media/lwx/climate/bwitemps.pdf

Amazing that this thing is still 36+ hours from landfall.

IAD is perfectly situated in a little shallow bowl which promotes cold air drainage on calm nights. https://www.heywhatsthat.com/profiler.html - very old website that I still find useful sometimes. The change in color is at IAD, with a west to east profile.