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MN Transplant

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About MN Transplant

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    Falls Church, VA

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  1. MN Transplant
    Going to Sky Meadows always makes me want to buy a few acres out there with a modest house and live happily. Then I look at the prices in, say, Delaplane, and see that others with way more money than me have already had that idea. Got a few sprinkles overnight from the stuff that slid by to the south. Perfectly happy keeping the clouds around.
  2. MN Transplant
    There's a version I used in my graduate studies called NCAPE (Normalized CAPE). Normalized CAPE (J/kg)The NCAPE (Normalized CAPE) is CAPE that is divided by the depth of the buoyancy layer (units of m s**-2). Values near or less than .1 suggest a "tall, skinny" CAPE profile with relatively weak parcel accelerations, while values closer to .3 to .4 suggest a "fat" CAPE profile with large parcel accelerations possible. Normalized CAPE and lifted indicies are similar measures of instability.
  3. MN Transplant
    0.45”. What a disappointment. Despite the various events, I am still below normal for July and falling further behind ytd.
  4. MN Transplant
    0.17” rain and a peak wind gust of 12mph today
  5. MN Transplant
    Yup, this tracks
  6. MN Transplant
    It is trying just west of DC. Not sure if we'll get the upscale growth that Frederick Co did.
  7. MN Transplant
    Two SVR warnings now SE of DC. Throwing off a little gust front to the north, so we'll see if anything can happen with that.
  8. MN Transplant
    If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here.
  9. MN Transplant
    Based on the CAMs, we were all hoping that this would be a two-round day, with discrete cells out front before the organized stuff gets here later. We just didn't get initiation and now have to wait for the stuff in Ohio to come together. 18z HRRR brings it in around 10pm, but there is a risk of it being south.
  10. MN Transplant
    The HRRR wanted initiation to happen already, but so far there is only one new cell up west of Gettysburg. Things can change quickly in this environment, though.
  11. MN Transplant
    The mesonet DPs are agressive.
  12. MN Transplant
    87/77. Ripe.
  13. MN Transplant
    2009-2010 was the warmest Canadian winter on record (to that point).
  14. MN Transplant
    0.47”. I’ll take it, but we desperately need a region-wide soaker.
  15. MN Transplant
    Yes, via my metrics of if it is loud enough to bother the dogs. I’ve heard thunder in the distance this year, but no close strikes until today.
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