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MN Transplant

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    Falls Church, VA

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  1. MN Transplant
    I’m out watering. At least some of the MD rain will keep the Potomac running.
  2. MN Transplant
    Despite some rain today, DCA will clinch another below average precip month, making it 12 out of 13. A debacle for those of us immediately south and west of DC.
  3. MN Transplant
    Trace
  4. MN Transplant
    Need to move to Maryland for rain
  5. MN Transplant
    Rock Maze is weird. You start on this nothing trail through the woods and out of nowhere is this random area with massive rock formations. Fun spot.
  6. MN Transplant
    DCA has had one above average precip month since June 2025. That was due to the sleet storm in January. July to date is -0.32" so maybe we can get lucky over these last few days.
  7. MN Transplant
    Going to Sky Meadows always makes me want to buy a few acres out there with a modest house and live happily. Then I look at the prices in, say, Delaplane, and see that others with way more money than me have already had that idea. Got a few sprinkles overnight from the stuff that slid by to the south. Perfectly happy keeping the clouds around.
  8. MN Transplant
    There's a version I used in my graduate studies called NCAPE (Normalized CAPE). Normalized CAPE (J/kg)The NCAPE (Normalized CAPE) is CAPE that is divided by the depth of the buoyancy layer (units of m s**-2). Values near or less than .1 suggest a "tall, skinny" CAPE profile with relatively weak parcel accelerations, while values closer to .3 to .4 suggest a "fat" CAPE profile with large parcel accelerations possible. Normalized CAPE and lifted indicies are similar measures of instability.
  9. MN Transplant
    0.45”. What a disappointment. Despite the various events, I am still below normal for July and falling further behind ytd.
  10. MN Transplant
    0.17” rain and a peak wind gust of 12mph today
  11. MN Transplant
    Yup, this tracks
  12. MN Transplant
    It is trying just west of DC. Not sure if we'll get the upscale growth that Frederick Co did.
  13. MN Transplant
    Two SVR warnings now SE of DC. Throwing off a little gust front to the north, so we'll see if anything can happen with that.
  14. MN Transplant
    If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here.
  15. MN Transplant
    Based on the CAMs, we were all hoping that this would be a two-round day, with discrete cells out front before the organized stuff gets here later. We just didn't get initiation and now have to wait for the stuff in Ohio to come together. 18z HRRR brings it in around 10pm, but there is a risk of it being south.
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