MN Transplant

It’s coming

Scrolling around trying to find the worst ob. Philly's 95 with 6 mile viz is a candidate. Grand Rapids, MI with an 88 and 3/4 mile viz is another. HGR is entering the game with 91 and 4 miles.

Airports still had a good run today and the HIs got in the 105-110 range in a good chunk of the region. DCA: 98 IAD: 96 BWI: 95

I’ve been using surface viz as a proxy for how it will seem at the ground level, but yeah, it is going to be smoky in the column.

Good news is that the HRRR is being less aggressive on the smoke over the past several runs. Bad news is that it is undershooting the visibility reduction in the Great Lakes right now. Much of WI and MI have 1 mile or less visibility.

There’s a 1500 near the Canadian border in the Minnesota arrowhead region. I looked at the trace and they topped 2000 yesterday.

To be clear, IAD has never recorded an 80+ low for any day. The morning low was 81. The question is whether it falls below 80 by the end of the day. It did drop down to 79 last evening when the winds went calm, and then rose again before midnight.

We might finally break the all-time warm low record at Dulles. Doesn’t look like they’ve broken below 80.

DCA is taking advantage of the west wind. Up to 93. Milky sky, but not a ton of irradiance reduction today. 90.5 at home. Likely a late high day as the warm pocket aloft is still advecting in.

Not only Canada, the Boundary Waters area of northern MN has lightning-induced fires and they've closed the park for only the third time on record.

Nasty

Probably not too much of a leap to think that the smoke might be holding temps back a bit.

The 00z sounding from last evening had the highest 500mb height on record at Minneapolis (1957-forward).

With Norway out, now I just want a toxic as hell France/England final.

0.67” at DCA. 0.20” at home. Nice refresher.