McHenrySnow

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

Neither of them are more accurate. A middle ground approach is always best when dealing with favorable ratios.


.

Excuse me, as I meant to say "reasonable" anyhow. 

FWIW, I prefer to use this when it comes to snow accums as it's usually more accurate than Kuchera or 10:1. 

Gotta believe pretty much all of DuPage and Cook are good no matter what, which sounds pretty familiar. 

I don't have access to it, but I've heard the 6z Euro bumped NW some more.....can anyone confirm?

3 minutes ago, chuckster2012 said:

I know it won't happen but wouldn't it be a riot if the heavy snow ended up in southern Indiana and central Ohio?

No.

2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

0z Kuchera for McHenrysnow that 25 is for you!!!! (if only)

 

I need some alone time with this run.

2 minutes ago, michaelmantis said:

I just want a few inches to go sledding this weekend. A campout with my daughter with half melted piles of snow that have turned to ice doesn't sound like much fun. 

I'd be thrilled to get a few inches at this point. The past couple winters have really f*cked the NW burbs. Hell, I'd just love to have some precip in general considering we've been in a severe drought for months.

1 minute ago, ILSNOW said:

18Z ICON bumped south as well.

It's over then. 

23 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Unless there is a reversal later in the run, early read on 18z NAM is that it may bump southeast.

Maybe a couple miles south at 75 hr.

EPS mean quite a bit further north than the OP. 

Just now, hlcater said:

Canadian and UKMET remain south. A hair north on the UKMET and a fairly substantial jump north from the Canadian. Still well south of the GFS. As much as I'd like to believe, I don't really see a scenario where the GFS is correct and everything caves towards it.

This isn't to say the GFS is right by any means, but......the UKMET is pretty terrible. Canadian isn't a lot better. 

5 minutes ago, hlcater said:

Holy shit the GFS. What do I need to do to make that happen 

You and Nate need to join forces and, I don't know, sacrifice a goat or something.

5 minutes ago, madwx said:

we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain,  gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system

you need to call a cardiologist, i'm concerned about your heart

23 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

It gave me over a foot of snow, so yeah it's GHD3 to me. Your turn for this one.

From your lips….

4 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Well gfs ended up doing well nailing the waa event being well north last time with wave 1 but this time wave 1 is going to be all rain. Wave 2 is our only hope at wintry precip and that did end up way south like euro had it so guess you're right. There are definitely similarities to GHD III but plenty of differences as well. 

Plenty. And also are we really calling that storm GHD III? It was certainly not in the same category as GHD I and II.

While I'd take 20", my one and only goal these days is to see a double digit snowfall. Haven't seen a single double digit snowfall since March 4-5, 2015.......in Kentucky.

Found my run. Lock in the 18z GFS. lol

i'm pretty proud of myself for not even getting remotely excited 

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Winter is definitely longer than summer.  Especially when it likes to pop in early or linger. Summer is more than long enough though.

summer is a never-ending hellscape

1" on the mark. Thank you, next.

3 minutes ago, Jonger said:

Come on guys....we need more models posted, I'm dying here.

Need MORE info.

enjoy 

lol

my new fave model - RAP

FTR, I'm riding the GFS and RAP to a disappointing 0.2". 

3 minutes ago, Baum said:

really? I was going to post it feels like spring outside today, and if that warm weather meant the storm would be further north. Also, with the snowpack melting off a bit that should help as well to bring it north. I have no pride when it comes to landing a 20" snowstorm IMBY.

HRRR has it around 50º tomorrow.