ADB83
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Everything posted by ADB83
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Just getting ready for the storm just went grocery shopping at this late hour which is objectively one of my dumber ideas. Euro pretty much in line with a lot of the other guidance at this point. There seems to be consensus for the most part. It’s just about time.
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I was going to post the same map Will be on X with little context very soon. If not already
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Brad Panovich 11 AM update
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A lot of uncertainty still. I have the highest respect as a hobby person for meteorology, and the people trying to forecast this. This region this time of year is just level 10 out of 10 difficulty.
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NAM has big dry slot even through south central VA
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Yeah that moved a lot, ZR mixes hours earlier and heavy precipitation shifts quite a bit northwest too
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GFS still trying to start with snow for northern part of NC
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I’ll tell everyone that I’m not paying attention but then watch every model run. It’s a sickness really
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The public backlash to this, whether it’s deserved or not, would be to borrow a word that the social media click chasing hype people have ruined forever: EPIC
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I don’t really believe it, but the NAM does offer a way out for a lot of us to miss the worst of the ice. It’s certainly possible.
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Don’t look now but the Euro about to do it again next weekend lol. Will give you another chance to believe it when it does it again
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Kudos to WFMY 2 in the Triad. They’ve said all along that all they know is there’s a lot of moisture and it will be cold. And that’s it. And that will end up being correct most likely. Anyone who was saying anything else definitely got out over their skies on this one
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Sigh. Any chance we can avoid the freezing rain and just get rain or no? I feel like in Winston the CAD is locked in and just going to get buried in the worst possible winter weather
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The GFS caved let’s face it, although Euro not great at CAD so there’s the matter of what type of frozen precipitation is going to fall. But the GFS sucks compared to the Euro, we knew it would cave, and it did lol
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I’m praying Winston Salem gets spared the ZR. The QPF has been consistently 1.5+. The trends are heading that way though. Best I can hope for is IP
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Not a single cliff diving post yet for that GFS run. That’s all the evidence I need that at least it didn’t get worse because you know there are some people that had their draft ready to go
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That didn’t look north to me that actually looked south a tad. I see people saying north, but I could be wrong. I’m an amateur lol
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Snowmen are pretty much an extinct creature in North Carolina. Sledding on the other hand very much on the table. Pulling for sleet hard right now. Precipitation that’s available remains large and we absolutely cannot afford to have that be mostly freezing rain
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I was 4. I don’t remember any of it, but I’d like to imagine I took full advantage! Let’s see if we get a chance to re-live it 40 years later
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You’ve been around through a lot of disappointment. A lot. That’s what this area produces most of the time. You’ll be back. And I’m grateful for that.
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I’ve pretty much given up on getting major snow in the Triad, need the Canadian to go even further the north to miss the ice. The kids are gonna love the sledding. It’s going to be epic. But man, the power people, etc. Looks like it could be rough. For a lot of our state
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The European is the king for a reason. The other models always eventually cave to it. And when it starts correcting as game time approaches if you’re on the opposite side it’s usually no bueno
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I’ve also been lurking for a long time, more of a model geek than Weather aficionado but just wanna shout you guys out I know it’s disappointing to lose the snow, but I always feel like I know what’s happening well before the public. They’re still thinking big snowstorm when I know ice is much more likely. Even before the TV and social media people catch on. I appreciate these discussions. I learn and I’m always super informed.
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If this holds this is going to be a huge hit to the weather industry in terms of the social media group. Local Mets have been banging the drum against them for a while. This might be if not the death blow a big shot to the attention they get
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True. Although in recent years, I would argue it’s like rooting for the Carolina Panthers. But, they DID get better this year!
