greenmtnwx

16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Isn't Townsend at like 600'?  I wouldn't exactly call that "lowlands". 

With all due respect you do not know the area well then. That area around 600’ is the lowland for the region and often a elephant graveyard for snow. Most of the area is much higher than that and you really want to be above 1,500’ to score on a lot of systems. It’s a stark difference. For example those areas around 600’ average maybe 70” of snow. My area 10 minutes up the road is 130”.

Many of the resort and mountain communities around the Stratton and Mount Snow region are well above 1,500’ with some rising to about 2,400’ feet. And of course the peaks are 3500-4000. 

28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Staying up in southern Vermont for this one. Absolutely worth a vacation day. Currently flurries with a coating that fell over night at Stratton, which should be in a very good spot for this. 

You should score 6 down in the lowlands of Jamaica/W. Townsend, but more like 10+ with elevation. 

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

It's going to be a kick in the ass if the coast strikes out on all the storms coming up.

 

Anyway back to bed 

None of these next three systems was ever a threat for coastal snow. Especially down in NYC. 

51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still punting Thursday for us in the pike region. CON to PWM is the zone to be. 

Southern greens you think Will?

Anyone post snow maps from euro for late next week? 

43 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Pope has been more right than wrong

Sad to see it 

Yes. Through mid-January Pope and Qomega firmly at the top of the league. Brooklyn and 40/70 in the running for first round draft pick.

We’ll see what happens from here but if the stout SE ridge on the GFS rears it’s head in the long term it’s lights out. 

Honestly at this point I think we need to take those ensemble means and toss em as far as we can. They along with Brooklyn have led us to no-man’s land. Unless stuff starts showing up within a week on the operationals, close the blinds. 

Models indicate some type of hybrid Ohio Valley low/SWFE into New England. Ski resorts and businesses in New England need this one. Let’s see if we can trend to more high pressure here and a more progressive SWFE system to thump the mountains. 

NAM looks nothing like the globals. Much more confluence and high pressure out ahead of the system. 

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro was a ka-ka trend. Not what anyone wanted to see. It still works verbatim for parts of NNE but another tick like that and nobody does well. 

What are you expecting Will?

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Honestly as 40/70 said the other day, this is when people get real pissy and start trolling, wishing for others to rain and feel their suffering, etc.

The board starts going down hill fast in the shitty winters.

I still don’t think it’s over 

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Good.

Good? Ski resorts need this one bad bro. 

I thought 6z gfs actually looked better.

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Insert X-Files quote…”I want to believe..”

 

 

No cold air though. Canada flooded with warmth, no polar source.

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The only shunting going on is you into a box into the ground with a new Pope shunting in.

Remember I am the new pope. I blessed this event earlier in the week, as I am also anointing several more chances the next two weeks. I am your Green Mountain pontiff, jump on my mobile.

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Actually am willing to give up a month so the west fills with water. Hopefully we can then transition to a PLUS PNA for a month for some winter action 

First sign of a mental crack. The old “well I’ll sacrifice” post.

48 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

18z GFS kept something on the map.

Just get the grass covered fully again would go a long way.

I bless this map. 

55 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Wow…what did you do with GreenMountain coffee? He’s a new man. 

Follow my lead. I’ve been sniffing out the pattern. My train is leaving the station, I am the new pontiff. 

15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

GFS all alone with some snow for SNE on the 5-7th.

And it’s the best model. The Euro sucks, the GEM is hot garbage and the GFS has significantly improved and done steadily well the last year. 
 

it’s gonna snow Friday. Away from the coast from interior mass up through the mountains it’s gonna snow. 3 snow events through the next two weeks, abd I think one could score on the coast. 

I’m surprised at the negativity going forward. Late week looks kind of interesting and seems like could be a couple chances behind it. Before the 500mb pattern looked good but nothing really materialized. Now we actually have models showing an interesting mid range period at the surface and all anyone wants to do is complain about the 300hr 500 mb. Who gives a f—k.

Have to hand it to Q, he took a lot of heat but nailed this pattern and the coming record warm first half of January. 

NAM came in warmer at 0z so the cooling trend for NNE has stopped. 

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No upslope with this to help bring them back online . Just icy trails 

Plenty of snowmaking time for those arriving after Christmas 

12z trends today say not so fast on a CNE and NNE washout. More cad, pressing pv high, quickly moving storm with perhaps sone upslope on the backend. Net gainer for the Greens?

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

12z guidance so far is pushing more and more of the TPV lobe eastward.....it's not going to help most of us, but it will help reduce the amount of time the warm sector parks in New England....so it may be beneficial for ski areas.

I was going to ask you any way the ski areas in VT can minimize the damage here. Conditions are great now and going to be cold both sides of late week but can they escape without obliterating their coverage. What would we look for? 
 

Be nice if they could minimize the warm sector and maybe squeeze some snow out in the front and back end.