greenmtnwx

Today’s a wash folks. Raining all the way down to Toms River now. Clouds will be here most of day.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

I never understood the unofficial start to summer for beaches in late May. Water is still very cold and temps can be very chilly too with any east wind. 

To me the 4th of July weekend is the real start to summer. 

Yeah maybe for you, but when you account for college kids going back to school by mid-August, school sports starting, etc, that would make it a 6 week summer. From mid August on is really no longer a big summer time. My shore place gets pretty dead then and Memorial Day weekend and June are busier.

This ski season has been just fine for just about all the east. It’s been plenty cold with some events but great weather for snowmaking. Add in the lack of warm cutters and it’s been an excellent few months. Trust me, I know, I ski a lot and follow the weather very closely at the New England resorts. I also know people who work in the industry there and this has been a very respectable season. 
 

The one thing that has hurt the ski resorts in recent years is that the holiday weeks have seemed to coincide with some of the worst weather. Christmas week hasn’t been good really for a number of years and that hurts the ski vibe some. The other thing as somebody pointed out is the youth sports season. Spring sports seem to start earlier and earlier, and kids are focusing on training and indoor sports sessions more and more. These “high-level” travel leagues are demanding more and more of kids. Even the kids who aren’t very good are playing in demanding travel leagues at a lower level versus rec sports. Add in the parents that have FOMO and it’s taken a lot of families out of the ski game for fear of missing that weekend training session 

I myself missed a bunch of good ski weekends in the last number of years because daughter had a club soccer tournament or a training session and we can’t miss that lol.

however, I will say this. You frequently hear a lot of talk about skiing being dead, trust me, it’s alive and well.

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

1600’ around there  nestled in that valley. Looks good.

House sits at 1,752’ to be precise

My place is West Wardsboro between Stratton and Mount Snow.

Close to 30” pack here.

I wonder if there might be a secondary surface reflection closer to coast once the upper level low swings through

This looks like the last good shot too. Cold is breaking down, most likely wet in the coastal plain from here on out. 

25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What a disaster this was . What looked like a huge snowstorm with all the models agreeing is turning to shit even with a good pattern. 

 

Nothing is going our way anymore 

Always next year buddy

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

The pattern is really good for a big storm

Negative NAO

Mjo 8

Negative AO

 

Stop yourself buddy. You know probably 8 in 10 chance we get little to no snow.

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How about DC.. getting 4-8” tonight and then a Rainer and 50 on Thursday. I mean they won’t even have a chance to do anything in the snow and it’s gone. 

DC is actually having the perfect winter. Some real nice snowstorms, some deep winter cold, some thaws here and there, and then they’ll be 75 with cherry blossoms in another month while we are 36 and fog.

NAM is south

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

Gradient storms.

Guys rooting for this setup…I think they are crazy personally.

Always want the cold air on your side

The setup we wanted was a few weeks ago. We just got unlucky. We had the deep cold and just missed a couple storms turning corner. That pattern usually works out. Not this one. 

For the city and coast this whole week has gone up in smoke. Epic fail.

I think this could be an overperformer in the southern VT mountains. we had a decent bit of snow earlier today at Stratton that went over to a little bit of sleet and fat flakes. But right now it’s really coming down and by the looks of some of the models I wouldn’t be surprised to see areas around here like boulder Pass at Mount Snow or the Stratton area or Woodford put up 6-8 inches tonight. 
 

currently at the cabin in West Wardsboro probably snowing close to inch an hour. Radar looks good.

3 hours ago, psv88 said:

This week probably coldest of the winter. Next few weeks don’t look great for snow and then we warm up. 
 

Absent a large storm in February I’m not seeing the area getting to average snowfall for the season. Probably crap out around 15” or so. 

Honestly, this is sort of a ridiculous statement. For all we know, we might have above average snowfall for the season two weeks from now. It’s mid January. You have no idea, neither do I, and living in the coastal plain all it takes is a couple of storms, even a storm in March to achieve seasonal average snowfall. 

1 minute ago, BxEngine said:

Brace myself? My dude this is a weather forum not a psychiatric forum. 

You haven’t been here long?

Rgem still too far west. Adjusting to an I95 and NE snowstorm

5 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Funny that everyone was discounting RGEM and CMC…

Euro and GFS look nothing like them

NAM is RGEM’d up

32 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

No way I'm tossing the euro this close over the rgem an CMC. It may be a little too far east but I trust it wayyyyy more then the Canadian camp.  Giving even the euro ai is similar to the euro. I think 2-4 City East an 4-8 NW of 287

If you were going with the euro, then that forecast doesn’t make a lot of sense. The euro is colder further east and weaker with generally better chance of accumulations in eastern areas and then on Long Island and north east of there. Although there may be better ratios, precip is limited northwest of 287.

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

all those places have way more ways of getting snow than this area does.

 

Midatlantic? No.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The continuing overpowering Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet doesn’t have anything to do with luck as it’s a function of the pattern we have been in for years.

Enough with that lol. New England has gotten snow, the midwest, ohio valley and now midatlantic. This one just a little suppressed.

Not saying we are going to bullseye this one, and I know I’m in a better spot on the Jersey Shore, but I was kind of surprised people were writing this one off the last day or so. People were acting like it was a 36 hour prog. This thing is still day four or five away.