Its a Breeze

Nov. '87 - as that's what got the meteorological wheels turning.

2009/2010 - for obvious reasons

There's a New Years snow (late 80s? early 90s?) too. It was back we we used to get 2-4" snows. But it was absolutely perfect. Woke up in the new year with a fresh coating.

6 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

One year wasn't enough time for that vapor to get into the air past winter? I mean that was Jan 2022...unless water vapor is slower/lingers longer than ash and such? (There a measure if how much of the water vapor is currently lingering?)

It's just that it was SO much.

5-10 years. That's how long it'll take to get rid of the excess water vapor...

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Boom convection.

Does anyone know when the LWX radar will be back online so we can track?

19 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

O M G

 

 

Glorious.

I weep openly for those who did not get to experience the magic and musical perfection of Local on the 8's. And the Weather Channel in it's heyday period.

5 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

How many consecutive GFS runs have had a hurricane in the gulf next week? Kinda nuts at this point.

The consistency is impressive.

But...10(+) days away, so...you know. Snow events, tropical events, same difference

21 hours ago, mattie g said:

I'm going to keep fighting this fight.

He said 1/1 to 6/5, so it wasn't really a "first five months" thing.

Sure it is! If all months (Jan through May) had 31 days, that would be 155 days.

He had his tweet in drafts and forgot to post it on the 1st. So he posted it on the 5th adding those extra days but taking out the holidays.

Or something like that

DCA - 98

IAD - 99

BWI - 99

RIC - 100

Will DCA ever hit 100 again??

13 hours ago, mattie g said:

 

A record for the first 156 days of the year?

That's like some random baseball statistic about how well a left-handed pitcher throws against righties in the second game of a three-game series with two outs in the seventh inning and a man on first base.

Agreed though that they could have just said the first 5 months. 156 is because months aren't uniformly 30 or 31 days...

Incredible satellite images showing the amount of smoke. You can see some of the individual fires in Canada (this is static, animated is better.)

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS is wetter up our way compared to 12Z yesterday.

Have we determined which is the better Spring model?

EURO is 100% dry.

With more real estate, that little spinny in the Gulf may have had a chance to develop more...

May is the one month I don't mind being just a tad warmer than normal. Though this morning was a slight taste, we're not in oppressive humidity mode just yet.

A cool May is just painful....

5 hours ago, mattie g said:

We've had one pileated that comes to our front-yard suet feeder on the regular (lots of them in our area). Funny to see this massive bird pecking at a feeder that's about 1/3 its size.

We have a couple of Pileated, they never go to the feeders though. The Red-bellied (greedy) and Downy definitely do though.

Seen a Northern flicker once, but only once so far...

Media is absolutely fascinating.

This headline

SpaceX blows up: Starship rocket fails seconds after launch site take off | The Independent

It goes on to mention it was 240 seconds after take off. Why not use minutes? lol

The launch btw, was definitely a success. The first one always blows up. This test lasting four minutes before rapid unscheduled disassembly, is cause for celebration.

^ Absolutely none of that is true. Like at all, lol

But we're off topic.

Apologies for my contribution.

On 4/14/2023 at 4:52 PM, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

09-10 3 blizzards melted in 3 days, each time. mid 30s, it was ridiculous. We need heavy cloud cover these days (I hate 09-10). I'm saying we are really amped for a big storm, but the "nothing but GOA giving us snow" is really a snow drought pattern. 

So many questions, lol.

You hate 09-10 because we had 3 blizzards?? Are you referring to the 1909/1910 season? Melted in 3 days? Where exactly were you during that season? Also, those weren't the only times we got snow and it still doesn't explain why it was in the one hit wonder category. Which of the three was the one?

If the most snow we've ever seen in a season, for a huge majority of the region, was in a "snow drought pattern", what's the complaint? Given that no non-drought pattern season has given us that much?

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Latest guidance is in agreement for a general inch(give or take) across the region later Saturday. Much needed.

Much needed indeed.

But as much as we need the rain, it is absolutely atrocious timing if a cool wet pattern is trying to set up now. May is our last chance of one last gasp of spectacular weather.

On 4/16/2023 at 9:50 PM, Kay said:

A few fireflies out tonight

Saw a few last week and was shocked. Don't recall seeing them this early before.

On 4/18/2023 at 8:01 AM, mattie g said:

Have yet to spot a hummingbird at either of our feeders so far this spring, but plenty of reports around.

Same. Haven't seen any yet.

1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

That's why I think we are more likely to have a Winter like 15-16 or 09-10 vs 02-03 or 95-96 (1 storm vs many). 

With those dates and when you say "1 storm vs many" are you saying:

"one or many vs one or many"?

Or "one or one vs many or many"?

9-10 is throwing me off...

6 hours ago, mattie g said:

Really the point I'm trying to make is that we don't really "drought." We get dry, but how often are things so bad that we need to think of it as a drought? And if we're like 5" below normal precip over a few months, people start talking about it, but if we're 5" above normal precip over a few months, there's virtually no discussion.

I'm definitely playing devil's advocate in here, but referring to dry periods as "drought" does trigger me

Got it.

But, it's not us. "Drought" is used by NOAA, USDA, et al. when specific conditions are met. We've been below normal since late fall (actually we've only had one above normal month since August,) but we weren't in "drought" conditions until mid-late March. And even still, it's not the whole region.

If we were in a region where it wasn't constantly wet, and we were 5" above normal, it would be talked about as flooding would likely start to be a concern.

6 hours ago, mattie g said:

What I find interesting is that when things are dry, there's this big concern about "drought," but when it's been wet there's basically no discussion about it.

?

Maybe I'm misreading. Are you saying that when it's not dry and things are normal, people aren't concerned with drought? Um...yeah? Why would they be? What am I missing?

Like, if the sun isn't exploding, people aren't going to talk about the sun exploding. But if it is exploding, then they'll talk about it. Seems like common sense *shrugs*

Also, to the common man, I don't see anyone making a big deal out of this. Interesting, sure, but I have not seen one complaint about sunny and dry

Rejoice!

This may be the last day under Snyder's control for the Commanders!!!

4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Unpopular opinion, but today and tomorrow could be sneaky brush fire weather.

Don't know about sneaky, we've been in Elevated Fire Danger mode for a few days now (Fire Weather Watch for many a couple days ago - or was it yesterday?)

19 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Almost 90 tomorrow? 

Records are definitely going to be threatened today.

Records are :

90 DCA

87 Dulles

89 BWI

I'm sure we'll have another cold shot, but for some there's the real possibility this was it. The last dip into the 30s until October/November.

4 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

In the metro areas? This month will be AN without doubt.

I just looked at DCA...

Last week was basically the only "nice" week we've had. Half the month has been at or below normal. We had a whole stretch from the 8th to the 20th with only 3 days AN in that stretch.