Its a Breeze

53 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Nada for I-95?

Needs to move a tick or two west.

And temps need to drop 50 degrees or so.

3 hours ago, yoda said:

This was 12 years ago?  Dang... time flies

Truly an interesting, if not amazing experience.

For me when it was happening and immediately after, it was about 99% wow/awesome and 1% nervousness - like 1) what are we supposed to be doing? hiding under a desk? running out the building? 2) that...was not weak.

18 hours ago, Jebman said:

This is extremely bad.

This here, is WISCONSIN we are talkin about.

It's one thing when it is this hot in south central Texas. It is quite another thing when my elderly uncle in La Crosse, WI has to try to contend with Austin, TX-magnitude extreme heat.

Not downplaying this current heat wave, but believe it or not, the mid-west gets HOT, lol. And frequently.

They have warmer extremes than we see here in the mid-Atlantic. La Crosse's all time high temp is hotter than DC's.

Looks like Gert is one of those 'screw it, just name it' storms . Don't think it actually reached TS strength but *shugs*

Should disappear in an advisory or two.

1 hour ago, mattie g said:

Maybe I just haven't been paying attention, but I can't recall seeing a system that rides so closely against the Baja coast and runs into southern California like the GFS is showing for early next week.

Not just GFS, looks like most or all the models are showing pretty much the same. It should be, but it's not surprising that Cali may be affected by a tropical system before anyone on the east coast...

And yeah, that is very rare. Looks like tropical storm Lidia in 2017 is the latest system that came close to that. Unless Hurricane Kay last year counts. Neither went directly into Cali.

Not sure if this counts, because it certainly wasn't cold. It was hot that day. Like 80s hot*.

But having a snowball fight in the middle of summer is another of my favorite memories. Not around here, were in Yellowstone and of course multiple thousands of feet up. It of course wasn't fresh snow, but months old patchy icy slush, but still, it was the first time I had a snowball fight in shorts.

*It was significantly cooler where these patches of snow were still around, but you didn't have to travel too far down to be back in the heat.

25 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

This is extremely un-scientific but I feel like modelling this summer has been pretty poor, at least in short term resolutions. I was out in Missouri for a week at the beginning of the month. 5 days out the forecast was for multiple days of 100+ and sunny. Ended up raining at some point every day and highs in the mid 80s. There have been weeks here of the same precip/temp issues. Maybe we are on a boundary and its really hard to nail down? 

Models are too hot in the summer, and too cold in the winter. So it perfectly balances out

And on that note, I predict we will have between .01" and 70" of snow this winter. 

LOTs of dust coming off Africa right now. Atlantic will be quiet for a while. They should have stuck with the 30% chance of an above normal season. Or lower.

Finally, a spectacular day where the sky is actually blue!

Feels amazing out

2 hours ago, H2O said:

It better get going to hit those numbers. Unless the pattern changes soon it will bust. 

Looks like they're still betting on the warm waters. But what we're, for the most part, seeing is that the myriad of other factors that go into making a tropical system are of equal, if not greater importance.

Definitely don't think we'll be that above average, if at all. We'll see though.

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Sky is much bluer this morning. Guessing it’s dispersing or lifting north 

Looks like neither. Just moved south a bit. May push back this afternoon (per NWS)

52 minutes ago, Wxtrix said:

an overnight low of 54 as those few perfect August days begin.

and the smoke is back:

 

Figured and meant to check.

It was/is definitely a "hmm...the sky is not as blue as it should be" kind of morning. Feels spectacular though!

If we were going to hit 100+, we should be at least 90 by now.

We'll try again tomorrow. If not tomorrow, then next year.

14 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

Awesome hailstorm in Purcellville 

Wow. 

 

The hail caught me off guard as I wasn't expecting much of anything! It even started to accumulate.

Can't lie, I giggled a bit...

14 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

All I keep reading on here is about this nice summer.  I don't see it.  It's been consistently above normal since the end of June.  Maybe it's a local thing since it hasn't rained out here. But it seems like it's hit 90F almost every day this month, including today.  And we are definitely adding at least another 5 days to that tally this week.

ETA: pulled the data...yep, only 4 days this month below 90F.  This summer is more 2010 than 2014.

 

Summer is more than one month. Can't ignore June.

And yes, 90 is hot. But we can handle that. We haven't had many HOT unbearable days.

95+ days:

BWI - 2, IAD - 1, DCA - 0

That'll change this week, but we really haven't been too bad...

On 7/19/2023 at 11:48 PM, WEATHER53 said:

Probably 1994

And speaking of '94, I know this is about snow, but can we add the ice storms of that year to the list?

Simply amazing. Especially when we had snow on top of the ice. Was still a kid so I had a blast with the countless slips and falls. I imagine for most, it'd be a different story now

Nov. '87 - as that's what got the meteorological wheels turning.

2009/2010 - for obvious reasons

There's a New Years snow (late 80s? early 90s?) too. It was back we we used to get 2-4" snows. But it was absolutely perfect. Woke up in the new year with a fresh coating.

6 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

One year wasn't enough time for that vapor to get into the air past winter? I mean that was Jan 2022...unless water vapor is slower/lingers longer than ash and such? (There a measure if how much of the water vapor is currently lingering?)

It's just that it was SO much.

5-10 years. That's how long it'll take to get rid of the excess water vapor...

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Boom convection.

Does anyone know when the LWX radar will be back online so we can track?

19 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

O M G

 

 

Glorious.

I weep openly for those who did not get to experience the magic and musical perfection of Local on the 8's. And the Weather Channel in it's heyday period.

5 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

How many consecutive GFS runs have had a hurricane in the gulf next week? Kinda nuts at this point.

The consistency is impressive.

But...10(+) days away, so...you know. Snow events, tropical events, same difference

21 hours ago, mattie g said:

I'm going to keep fighting this fight.

He said 1/1 to 6/5, so it wasn't really a "first five months" thing.

Sure it is! If all months (Jan through May) had 31 days, that would be 155 days.

He had his tweet in drafts and forgot to post it on the 1st. So he posted it on the 5th adding those extra days but taking out the holidays.

Or something like that

DCA - 98

IAD - 99

BWI - 99

RIC - 100

Will DCA ever hit 100 again??

13 hours ago, mattie g said:

 

A record for the first 156 days of the year?

That's like some random baseball statistic about how well a left-handed pitcher throws against righties in the second game of a three-game series with two outs in the seventh inning and a man on first base.

Agreed though that they could have just said the first 5 months. 156 is because months aren't uniformly 30 or 31 days...

Incredible satellite images showing the amount of smoke. You can see some of the individual fires in Canada (this is static, animated is better.)