SnowGiant611

Maybe about 4” in KCON? A ways to go to get to the projected range of 8-12”. Do we feel this backfills to the NW once the coastal takes over? .

This has been a very strange winter for the NH Capital region. We’ve either been too far north, or too far south for nearly every storm for decent snows. I could use a nice Norlun trough dropping 30” over a 48 hour period please! .

This storm is making me extremely nervous. The signals for ice accumulations seem very strong here in KCON. I’m hoping the precip is heavy enough such that most of it rolls off instead of taking root. An inch of ice accumulation would be absolutely CATASTROPHIC! .

Haven’t officially measured, but if we got 4” I’d be surprised. I’ll measure in the AM. .

Leave it to Tom Brady to upstage likely one of the largest snowstorms in New England history, lol. .

I wonder when Gray revises the forecast for this area? Can’t see any paths to a 6-14” total storm accumulation here? .

The subsidence from the draining cold air absolutely killed the DGZ here. .

Epic bust here in KCON. Called for 6-14”, we’ll likely be lucky to get 2”. Incredible how the GFS locked in to the actual final scenario. Looking forward to the postmortem here. .

Feels like the sun wants to come out here in KCON and the temp hitting 50! Almost 40 here now. Probably got about 5”, before it started to compact. It’s incredibly slippery with the water on top of the compacted snow on untreated spots. .

20 degrees here in KCON. -4 degree DP. Airmass is extremely dry. .

You won’t see the days max until later this evening when the mid levels start to warm. .

NWS Gray has us under a WSW, calling for 6-12”. Surprising for others here? They state periods of 1-3” snowfall rates (thundersnow, anyone) will drive total accumulations. All this storm would need to do is drift 50 or more so miles from its forecasted position and Mark and I could be in the Jack zone. .

It's either going to snow, or it won't. What makes this all the more exciting is the potential for drastic model shifts inside 48hrs, which are not all that common. Keeps us all riveted right up until go time, but in that case we need to rely on factors such as climatology, field dynamics and experience in order to project what actually may occur. Good stuff!

Completely OT regarding weather, but I complete agree. After a disastrous 2020 season did ANY of us actually expect the Red Sox to contend and be in the ALCS especially considering what each of us projected to be a "meh" FA signing group? The Sox are onto something good, starting with the farm system. Hopefully Bloom can balance his cost-managing ways that made the Rays a perennial contender and augment them with the ability to spend, when necessary. This off-season is a great example of that. Correa? Story? Suzuki? What high-class talent will Bloom sign to complement the core already here?

This pattern has certainly been junk, but the snow removal personnel are loving it, especially those that charge by the "storm". Even 1" of snow needs to be cleared from driveways and walkways else it will simply turn to ice. We do seem to potentially get a bit of melting today, but I was expecting much more sun (which hasn't yet materialized). The teleconnections and jet stream alignment just don't seem to be there this year. It's curious because our best "Nor'Easter" actually happened back in November, but we obviously didn't have the airmass to support it, but we were all hopeful that it would have translated into winter. Something just feels off about this winter....and the large swings in temp gradients are typically fertile breeding grounds for storms or to "refresh/reload" the atmosphere, but we really haven't even seen that as we seem to be hovering in a daily max range of 3-7 degrees. That won't get the job done. A few "torch" events will likely generate some instability and pattern uncertainty that I think is a bit necessary now?