WestBabylonWeather

37/29 in west babylon 

Taking in the Christmas stuff now to the shed. Nothin like last minute lol

That guy was out of control for releasing that map so early. 

Quite displeased with the likelihood of rain on Long Island while 50 miles north snows. Quite displeased. 

Just now, mreaves said:

He doesn’t mess with those. He lives in the land of the Alchemist, Hill Farmstead and Lawson’s. 

I’ll take a heady topper anytime 

3 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

no only dipa's for me 

New England IPAs are my goto. I love treehouse and trillium. Drove up many times from LI

10 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Watch CMC trends... it tends to run warmer than NAM. HRRR ag 48 hours tends to run warm and then as we trend close toT0 it should cool.  Those two models are my overall operational experiences. 

Stats are helpful...they temper enthusiasm but sample size can also have new contributions that are not in the more plentiful solutions.  

NBM has been steady through all the recent dailies.

 Even 18z EC has only 33F NYC Sat night... good VV and timing with the midnight ob might yield an inch Manhattan.  Think its going to be interesting NYC and northern LI.  Nothing off the table yet...in my mind.  I want to see if the 00z/5 12KM can settle on something more reasonable than its 18z predecessor. I'll  be sleeping when it comes in. 

After this post odds have increased I’m going to the north shore Saturday night 

4-6 LI

with 6-8 on north shore of nassau

ill take it

even if ratios need to cut in half

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 

25 mile tick NW with the goods also not as impressive with the Sunday stuff 

starting to think my jokes about taking the ferry to CT from long island is going to actually happen lol

having to delete photos or gifs in order to upload new ones is a bummer

Just now, White Gorilla said:

Go to the Catskills.  They will jack 

My buddy has a house in grand gorge in Delaware county and I just know it’s gonna puke snow there 

Just now, MJO812 said:

Rgem is also colder and further south and east.

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Yeah this is an event where Fenway gets 9 and Logan gets 2.  Normally by now ocean is cold enough that even screaming east flow won’t matter but SSTs are warmer this year 

SSTs being warmer may help with stronger winter storms if the pattern is better in February, no?

I’m in Farmingdale now. Looking north looks real dark 

If it wasn’t north and wests job, I’d be posting the “just when I thought I was out” gif 

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

I think if Bayville does well the whole north shore out to mattituck does well

It’s rare south shore rains while north shore gets a snow storm. But it happens 

6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

It’s looking more interesting that’s for sure. City streets may stay wet. Outer boroughs may be able to get some snow. 
 

very interesting for LI north shore now. Very rough forecast. 1-5”?

I said it before. I’ll say it again. Storm chasing to bayville lol

2 hours ago, bgmsnowman said:

For everyone on here.  I am sure that some of you have thought about moving to get more snow.  I grew up in the 70s and 80s along I-78 about 10 miles east of I-287 and really did not like being on the wrong side of the rain/snow line all to often.  I remember thinking that maybe when I grew up I could live in northwest New Jersey or up into the Hudson Valley to get more snow.  As an adult, I moved several times and currently live about 15 miles west of Albany at higher elevation so I certainly was able to move up into a snowier climate.  I also lived in Binghamton for 15 years.  You learn that there is no such thing as a perfect place for weather, and every place gets ripped off from time to time, but certainly upstate NY is better than the NYC area if you like snow!  Wondering if anyone around NYC has considered moving, and where you think a "perfect" place might be...

Thought has crossed my mind. But I wouldn’t actually act on it lol

we get our fair share of snow here on LI

the inconsistency sucks though. One year 2” and the next year 60”. That I cannot stand

we thought about a move to Raleigh cause we’d live like royalty but I’m just not down with no snow at all 

I’m quite displeased with essentially being the rain snow line. Is what it is. Hopefully end of month or feb delivers something. 

Just now, psv88 said:

I remember storm chasing to the barrier islands in February 2010…snow started at the RM causeway 

I vaguely remember this. The good old days

I’ll storm chase to the north shore. Sure 

2 minutes ago, wdrag said:

18z EPS is within a tenth of an inch on its new qpf for the Sat night -Sunday morning snow storm. I've added an 18z EPS graphic 10 to 1 ratio chance of 4+.  While I do not like using 10 to 1 ratio as a first guess... in the all snow region 10 to 1-Kuchera should work but always keeping in mind the base Positive snow depth change. I'll keep pounding this since it's the easiest way to reduce disappointment.  For NYC... EPS Positive snow depth change is 2" now...so within there 1-4 bracket. We're still about 72 hour from the start... so I can't say its a lock yet but hope exists for northern and Western LI to break the less than 2" curse. 

Such a nail biter for LI 

1 minute ago, mreaves said:

GTFO Waby!

If I goto the north shore I can see New England. Plus I like the discussion here better sometimes lol 

16 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Our paths must have unknowingly crossed a few times. I’m literally around the corner, and it’s plainly obvious that I may have a whee bit of a problem 

I love it there. Always a great craft selection in back fridge. 

2 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

No need to make emergency run to brightwaters bev for this one! Lol

Was there the other day lol.