Gino27

2 hours ago, Stebo said:

Warm Tongue of Death will be a common theme in Ohio this year.

As for the region as a whole, I expect above normal temps/precip/snow especially north of 80.

Pain... but yeah you're probably right. I expect us to cash in on some of the more progressive/weaker systems, but the heavier ones will probably stay north like usual. 

1.52" with maybe more coming overnight. Went from a terrible dry spell to a tornado warning and numerous thunderstorms. Still a few inches in the hole but I will take anything at this point. Still a bit worries about what's going on north of me. Looks like 5+ inches in some spots and tons of flooding.

1 hour ago, Snowstorms said:

I agree. It was the same up here as well. Expect for Feb 08, we didn't really retain much snow-cover. But man did it ever snow. I'll never forget the Dec 07 and March 08 winter storms. Dec 07 dropped 12-14" across the area and the March 08 dropped 15-18" across the area. I think that's one storm the Ohio Valley will never forget. 08-09 was also another great winter. Two back to back awesome winters.

You are correct, we will never forget March 2008. I think I had about 22 inches from that bad boy. No school for 3 days!

AWESOME!! I love this drought.

Looks to stay absolutely dry and hot here. UGH!

It really is nuts how "short" this summer has been. Having freezing temps just 17 weeks ago and now seeing that 540 line pop up on the GFS is pretty surreal. I don't think we've ever had September snow around here, maybe some flakes. I've got to wait at least 10 weeks for any of that.

Weenie time!!!

I need to learn to accept that it just doesn't rain in my zip code during the summer. All the storms here either ride up the Bellefontaine ridge, or head into the Scioto Valley. Sigh...

28 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Tomorrow is 2 months since the last 1" calendar day rainfall at ORD.  The last time there was such a streak during meteorological summer was in 2013.  Clearly this means historic type winter coming.  

If this is a 2012 type summer, a 2012-2013 winter wouldn't be bad at all.

There's nothing that can stop this dry spell now.

LOL!

I'm really rooting on the remnants to give us some drought relief. Unfortunately the models keep pushing it south.

There's nothing like 92 on October 2nd. You want summer to leave a bad taste in your mouth? That's how.

Long range models have been hinting at a pretty substantial cool down around this time after the warmer weather in the next few weeks.

Not gonna get much better here in Central Ohio either. It's be really dry.

Oh... welcome back!

6 hours ago, Hoosier said:

It will get cold and there will be snow.

There.  Simple.  

Wow this is a hot take. Big if true.

6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

 Summers back, i.e. heat, is definitely broken, but it does appear to be some time before true fall weather settle thin. Not sure what early indicators you're referring to, but actually a weak la nina typically features a mild fall followed by an early onset of Winter. I have a good feeling about the Christmas season this year, but very on the fence about what happens after the New Year.  I researched weak La Nina winters here and the signal for a snowy December is as strong a signal as I've ever seen in an analog set, but after new years there's a large variety.

I was mainly referencing that those water temp anomalies signal positive EPO/NAO/AO. I could be wrong, that's just the way I see it being going forward. La Nina is typically good around here, but a La Nina developing this time of year following some time in El Nino usually lead to a EPO+ and AO+ pattern. However, the CFS (for whatever microgram of salt it's worth) has plenty of hope of a nice early start to winter. Like always, whatever follows after New Year's can really be a tossup.

15 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Reminds me of when I was looking at my vacation around Lake Superior back in 2016. At this range it even had snow along the north shore. What verified, a couple of normal days 70s/low 50s and then unseasonably warm in the low to mid 80s across the UP.

Yeah I'd say we're still in the thick of summer for quite some time. Don't love the early indicators of climo for late fall and winter.

Time to fire up the weenie machine!!

As long as we're not dealing with 90 degree temps raging into October like last year I'll be happy! 

A grain of salt would be a stretch.

I hate this... another near miss.

I would really hate to see this one go north for me. I wish there was a way we could all get in on a decent storm...