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Posts posted by Prospero
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5 minutes ago, Tezeta said:
She’s looking better in the last two minutes than she did 7 minutes ago tho
Its going to be a long day. LOL
Luckily for me I'll be on the road a few hours away from my PC.
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I think Ida looked better an hour and half ago. Maybe just me.
Will Ida have a well-defined eye by noon EST? I have my doubts.
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9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:
And that is without a Mandatory Evacuation. Oh what fun.
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7 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:
Some people might say that it is unnecessary to point out sarcasm for an argument that has continued for years, but here we are
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2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said:
I remember Katrina where everyone kept saying as soon as it develops an eye it would strengthen even more and it kept falling apart. Only just before landfall did the eye really look good. I've watched many storms in the Gulf since then where the same discussion happens. A perfect eye is expected, should appear, and they fall apart. Yet we get perfect eyes approaching the Yucatan and out in the Atlantic. Maybe some unknown phenomena has developed in the Gulf that makes it harder for a perfect eye to manifest.
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13 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:
Wrong. Ida is an it.
This discussion comes up every year I think, at least since I have been around.
From what I can gather is that there is no "rule", even with the English language. Years ago the media started to move away from "he/she" based on some who, like buckeyefan1, say of a hurricane, "its a pile of parts..." Others will say a hurricane is remembered by it it's name and displays a personality to some. In fact, some will say the Earth itself is not alive, it is just parts. Whereas others say the Earth is a living entity and we are all just parts of it.
I miss speaking of storms by their name suggestions and I cringe even now when I force myself to call Ida an "it". I'm in the smaller school of thought that storms are alive themselves for their brief periods on our living breathing planet.
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3 minutes ago, Stormfly said:
The same could be said about boats, cars and other inanimate objects. But in that case it's ALWAYS a SHE. And too, SHE canes statistically produce the most damage!
Also it seems that these (storms) (nearly) ALWAYS make landfall when it's dark!
All-Righta.
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DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ida was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 85.7 West. Ida is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this general motion should continue through late Sunday or early Monday, followed by a slower northward motion on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Ida will move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today and move over the central Gulf of Mexico tonight and early Sunday. Ida is then expected to make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf coast within the hurricane warning area on Sunday, and then move inland over portions of Louisiana or western Mississippi later on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours and Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it approaches the northern Gulf coast on Sunday. Weakening is expected after Ida makes landfall. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA reconnaissance aircraft data is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
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Usually as a storm approaches landfall we start to see posts that link to chasers on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, etc. It would be GREAT to see a collection of chasers that we can follow. I know some people have their favorites that others are not aware of. But please share so we can all enjoy.
Or is there a site that has a list like that? I see this:
https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/
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I wonder if Ida will be able to maintain a "perfect" eye while in the Gulf. It should, conditions seem right. Yet so many Gulf storms I remember in the past few years have had trouble.
If Ida's eye has problems, it would obviously affect peak winds. But what about the rest of the storm? Such as size, surge, and rain?
Just wondering...
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2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:
Humans don't learn lessons easily
I guess if the water gets deep they can stack up milk crates to stand on.
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4 minutes ago, cheese007 said:
The New Orleans mayor suggesting people should "shelter in place" is ridiculous
We know how well that worked with Katrina.
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Several weeks I ago I said Ida would the historic storm of the season. A few days ago I said, "Nah, I don't think so."
Well, maybe I was right first, wrong second.
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7 minutes ago, Windspeed said:
I was like, WTF is that. Few minutes later was looking up "Milk Crate Challenge" on Google.
Yikes!!
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6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:
Always better to chase at home
Unless it’s an EF-4 or Category 4
I will say I am usually up before dawn and am known to be one the first to drive around checking damage and storm surges.
Lucky to have a good friend and client who is a tree service guy. Our home is one of the first on his list for his predawn drive and a few times after storms we are texting at 5:00 am.
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19 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:
No, it is not too early to start evacuation. We are 48 hours or less out from the impact of the storm, and it is wildly irresponsible for a met or pro broadcaster or whatever he is to poo poo this.
It is always better to be safe than sorry.
Imagine the traffic jam tomorrow night if Ida stays on track and strengthens like the models predict. I wouldn't want to be in that. I'd prefer to be in one of the remaining hotel rooms that people who leave today can get lucky to check into to.
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26 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:
Unfortunately I have a horribly timed family obligation I can’t get out of. It happens.
If you get a rental and the car gets trashed, it’s a bad trip. Hasn’t happened to me yet (knocks wood) but the closest I came was Florence when my hotel was surrounded by water. That said, because I planned ahead and was in a good spot, it was never really in danger.
This is not directed at you but I’ve seen some posts here about chasing from what seem to be newbies and I’d just say chasing isn’t a getaway or low stress endeavor. It’s an extraordinary amount of work (if you’re doing it right) and can be very dangerous. I’d strongly advise any first timer to start with something less intense unless they plan to be much further inland where impacts will be reduced.
Some of us who live in Hurricane prone areas just chase at home. I expect one day I will be posting the moment by moment videos and pictures until we lose power and internet access.
I hope it is not Ida, but so far appears it will not be a Florida Gulf Coast storm.
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7 minutes ago, Windspeed said:
Pretty impressive organization since last night. Deep convection over the LLC. Appears to be stacked.
Wow! First time this year for a tropical storm?
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23 minutes ago, blueberryfaygo said:
I am gonna chase. Brining my kids with me.. Whats the best hotel to stay at that would offer the safest environment? We can handle blown out windows.. but I definitely don't want to get caught up in any building collapses.
How old are your kids?
If it becomes a Cat 5 get your kids outa there! You can stay and report, take videos, and photos.
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18 minutes ago, cptcatz said:
Any chance it does a Charley/Wilma turn and slam Florida?
Since I don't think it will do much, and not thinking of preparing, a hard turn into Tampa Bay is likely...
Ida Banter
in Tropical Headquarters
Posted
We've been very lucky around Tampa Bay. VERY lucky.