Kitzbuhel Craver

Tough forecast with this current storm, lots of head fakes. However, models were incredibly consistent showing that Albany right across Central/Northern Mass were gonna get smoked. Also, incredibly consistent in showing a gaping dry slot over CT. It is truly fascinating psychology(not to get all Tippy on everyone)to see what has the highest probability of occurring, yet the weenie in us refuses to grasp the reality. Instead we wait eagerly for the next run to show us what we want. Lol!!! It’s been showing us, statistically speaking that when 20 runs out of 25 have the same general idea, humble thy weenie and accept what is most likely going to happen. This is definitely something I need to put into practice, lol.

12 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

But, no way the entire state of CT could be in a  prolonged snow hole. No freaking way.

Force Field. 

37 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Been snowing here for the last 2hrs.

Had some mood snow earlier, which was nice to see although it had a hard time accumulating at 32 degrees on the nose pretty much all day. Shut off at about 2:00, Nothing since. hoping for some flakes tonight...

Lol, freakin force field around CT on radar. Don’t let one flake in dammit!!

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

6Z NAM pretty decent for CT for another 2-4, 4-6 in NE CT

Another? Never got my first 2... lol

Pouring sleet and freezing rain...

Bout .6” and currently sleet/snizzle. Round 1=Fail.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s moving NE quickly.

It’s here in Central CT...

An abrupt change to freezing drizzle/sleet, visibility just went way up.

Interesting... back to decent snow growth, no parachutes anymore. Snowing at a mod/heavy clip! Gorgeous!!!

Ripping Yuge flakes in Meriden. Sleet a cometh...

There hasn’t  been many favorable model runs for CT and there hasn’t been many of the brilliant mets on this forum saying much of anything positive for weenies in CT. It’s pretty clear that a line from around Albany, straight across northern Mass/NH border is the zone. I’m keeping expectations super low. It’s the way to go and it also has worked out fantastically for my marriage.

17 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

U think that's bad look at our herpes.

Neutered.

At least I can maintain my completely snake bitten CT winter weather vibe from last season right on to 19/20. Let’s keep it curmudgeonly awful in the Constitution State!!! Get pumped!!!

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

There have been 9 years out of 123 with 6 inches or more in Hfd area between 10 1 and 12 3

Climo is a biatch

22 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Here's the RGEM clown map. 

Eww. Ugly in CT, albeit Kent. That hole is showing up on Multiple pieces of guidance now. Gotta hope round two provides a lil suttin.

Eagerly awaiting some messenger ticks. Trends have been, well as Scooter put it, poopy. Those mid levels are cooking this morning. 

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea cuz d4/5 cmc bullseye’s are pinpoint accurate.

As inaccurate as it is, I still don’t want a D4/5 bullseye. Never a good thing. Lol

In all seriousness Happy Thanksgiving fellas! Here’s to all the weenies far and wide having the winter of their dreams from the picnic tables to the Corey Snow Hole.

Well, well, well.... All of the sudden my ween stands at full attention. 

Looking pretty likely, isn’t this just gonna rot in the GOM and push that NW flow over the spine? I’m heading up for sure...

Is it just me or could this upcoming storm be one of the best of the winter for the Greens? QPF is ramping up every run and almost every storm has over performed up there this winter it seems. Is the synoptic portion of the storm providing some of the projected frozen or is this a pure closed low upslope event?

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I'm not going to get sucked into that question at this point...lol

If it ends up a weak, strung-out mess then maybe there's mixed showers down in SNE, but if that's the case, who cares about ptype, right?

Of course, just poking the nest a bit, lol. I’m kinda checked out personally and not expecting much, but still would be happy with an unexpected surprise if it were in the cards

Just now, dendrite said:

The antecedent airmass is plenty cold enough for most for a potential late blooming system.

For most huh... who are the have nots?

Is there a strong HP for this potential threat? Being so late in the season and climo kicking in, it doesn’t look terribly cold in SNE during said period.