Kitzbuhel Craver

Being on the wrong side of the gradient as far as the eyes can see.

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This will throw 1-4 flakes way back into CT. 

FYP

22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But what about your boy Cranky?  He said N. Mid Atlantic and SNE snow event coming yesterday...you were with him on that.   You were on the bus, then off the bus, then back on again yesterday, now back off the bus again today.....Holy Smokes you're all over the map lol.   I feel bad for the non-hobbyists who follow your ideas on social media.

Nah bro, medium range REV promised snow... We good

Epic sledding condish, lol, blood on the hill...

Blows trading a fooking flurry for what could have been a decent midweek event. Don’t worry PF will get 6” of fluff today.

Nearly every Impactful storm this season so far has made a last second jog NW. When we actually need it, this will be the one that doesn’t, lol. 

35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I can't wait until whatever isn't going to happen mid week, doesn't happen, so we can enjoy a nice weekend and focus on the improving look for the second half.

January is a "fast forward" month this year...has looked that way since fall.

I dunno, I feel like January being a fast forward month is not exclusive to this season. We have been here before.

Have to admit the model volatility has been relatively high lately. Weenie emotions being strained to the max.

So for clarification did Scooter’s Shit streak ruin this or Kev’s new found Jet Streak? Lol

Born in 81 so a bit too young to remember specifics. I do however, clearly remember literally crying to my parents during those years when storms didn’t pan out. Falling asleep to a snow forecast, waking up to rain, painful memories. Lol

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

‘Specials’ are now 1-2” jacks. Oh how far we have fallen. 

Mom? Dad? Is this what regression feels like?

I’m a pack fetish guy when it comes down to it. I love a winter landscape. I absolutely despise liquid precipitation and mud in the heart of winter. I’m cautiously excited for the midweek potential even though it will end up being stat padding as we wash it away a few days later. Tough to not see any sustained cold in the near term in fooking January.

Been completely neutered here since well before Christmas. As it drizzles amidst a balmy,  45 degree temperature, shades of last winter creep into one’s subconscious. I promised myself I would never go back to that place, never. Yet, here I am.

Seems like advisory type snows at best down this way as of 06z, doesn’t really have its act together until it’s a bit further along.

I will say, if you live in the southern 2/3rds of SNE, draw a line across the region from about Hartford South, this winter has blown so far. These upcoming threats don’t look all that promising for said area either. Up and in. Worked last season, seems to be fitting ATM also.

Hurts when Ryan basically punts the next 14 days, in January no less. Ouch.

Time to re-examine how the GFS is handling this event?

Well that was fun

Yeah, this is far from a lock down here. The last few events trended North at the last minute, keep expectations low.

21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Still quite a bit of variability in the EPS members. Some skunk SNE, others skunk NNE.

I like the location of EPS probabilities of > 6" for the highest potential corridor right now. I would say because there is a bit of a bi-modal distribution of north or south members, the actual probability of > 6" is likely higher where it snows, it's just getting smoothed out here.

Ok, that’s no bueno for about 90% of CT.

Seems like we can easily trend away from a snowy solution with this shitty airmass ahead of the storm and no real semblance of a strong HP to the north. What is the mechanism for the snow solution? Seems like we are relying on dynamics to get er done?

Please oh pretty please don’t Lucy us EURO!!!!

Apologies in advance for a IMBY question regarding this potential... With PF dealing with the holiday rush and not posting too much, I’m trying to get a grip on what’s gonna happen with this in far NE VT. BTV still wavering in regards to warm/cold solutions. Do we think sleet is a possibility up there? Or does it stay all snow due to the close proximity of the HP? Or am I sucking exhaust from a strong HP advecting in? Thanks for whoever could gimme some insight. I have hella family members asking me what we are getting ourselves into....

No way, I’ve definitely heard Tanuary on the board before.