Torch Tiger

Yeah some monster seasons there. though most of us have already seen the analogs, I pulled them from the full forecast Table 12: Analog years for 2024 with the associated hurricane activity listed for each year. Year NS NSD H HD MH MHD ACE NTC 1886 12 84.25 10 49.50 4 4.50 166.2 155.3 1926 11 86.75 8 58.50 6 22.75 229.6 230.3 1933 20 125.25 11 57.00 6 21.75 258.6 263.1 1995 19 120.50 11 60.25 5 11.75 227.4 221.3 2005 28 126.25 15 49.75 7 17.50 245.3 276.7 2010 19 89.50 12 38.50 5 11.00 165.5 196.4 2020 30 122.75 14 35.25 7 8.25 180.4 235.5 Average 19.9 107.9 11.6 49.8 5.7 13.9 217.8 237.2 2024 Forecast 25 125 12 50 6 16 230 240

gorgeous!

Hot one in Portland, ME. 95 on carle therm, probably 90ish? @11am

it is!

Doin the dew, and there's nothing you can do

that damn song was stuck in my head yesterday lol

thank Kev

Brockton Jr.

Special summer. All I can say is wow!

looks light

it's not data-fill

envy

Let's get after that EML event, then a Hugo displaced 500mi? north

'89

sheesh

GEFS/EPS bring back significant heat

One of the best childhood storms I can remember, and it was FMH cape cod. It was later at night but there was incredible lightning, pea size hail, 50mph gusts. 1 hours worth

Euro/gfs have an "89" type severe threat ~D10

Looks like ASH had a light shower; that general area badly needs those remaining showers to hold together.

New England severe

Do we ever get a reaction? Many of us want it. Plus save a renegade post or two, and server space!

noticed SST's 85-92 already E coast of Florida, and still a ways from peak SST/OHC. It's hard to imagine FL not getting at least one minimal cane hit this year.

doubt it, but hope you're right. Probably an 96 Edouard type tease

Maybe we will have pelicans living here year-round soon?