TheRegionRat

There are a few of us hearty souls living in the shadows of the stacks. Snow globe effect right now.

Really snowing great here right now.

Measured 11 inches on the lid of the garbage can in the alley. Measurements in the alley where anywhere from 15" down to 8" in windswept areas. Under the big pine tree, measured 11 inches. Somewhat sheltered, unobstructed areas, anywhere from 12" to 15".

Lake effect still ripping here. Almost north to south orientation. If it slides just a mile east, and sits a bit, the snow will pile up quickly.

Absolutely nuts here with snow and wind. Are blizzard thresholds within reach?

Snowing at a good clip right now. Radar returns show a veritable firehose effect over the area at the moment. Shoveled a couple of inches of pixie dust this morning.

Lake County, Indiana is also included in the warning based on my NWS forecast. Is that correct? Or at least part of the county??

The 18Z HRRR is burying Chicago. I recall reading that the model has a tendency to overdo lake effect snow. Even if it's by 20%, the city is looking at almost 20 inches of snow in parts.

Don't jinx me. You were pointing out that the forecast parameters are amongst the best we've seen this winter. I certainly hope the parameters materialize and then we'll see if the band settles over one spot for awhile.

It started to mix with rain here. More rain than snow.

Pretty good birthday. The 53 year old snow thrower started right up this morning. Around 10 inches of snow has fallen. The snow wasn't as heavy as I expected it to be. Unfortunately the beach area in Whiting was closed today.

Snowing here. Starting to dust over surfaces.

Went up indeed. I'm optimistic that this event will be on the top end of the forecasts.

I'm a bit bummed. My NWS forecast has 3-7. Seems a bit low. SREF plumes for Gary are pointing to almost 10". The NAM versions are on the lower end of the spectrum.

Isn't that the truth! So is the block that sheared the last storm, the same block that keeps this low from cutting west? A quick aside, I'm using the term block because it was tossed about a lot the past few days. It may not be the correct terminology.

Not much snow here for the event. Maybe three inches? Might be generous. It has become a veritable skating rink overnight.

My forecast from LOT has ticked up. Is now 4-10 by tomorrow evening. We'll see what lake influences this neck of the woods receives.

Where is the energy for the storm, and has it been sampled? The LOT AFD says it's coming ashore this morning. Fully sampled for the 12Zmodel suite?

Would prefer not be in the bullseye this far out. This will bounce around a bit. I remember the old "Northwest shift"days all too well.

I'm really digging that track. What ratios are expected? Lower at first, higher as the storm moves along? Any lake enhancement/effect?

Bone thrown this morning in the LOT AFD regarding a pattern change. The forecast for the later half of the period, which encompasses the weekend through early next week, continues to be dry with seasonal temperatures. However, there are signs that as we head into the middle to end of next week that the upper level pattern may begin to transition to a more active northwesterly flow pattern across the central CONUS. This could thus result in some colder weather and better chances for precipitation beyond the current forecast period.

I'm in East Chicago, maybe 10 minutes from Gary Airport. As the crow flies, three miles.

Run of the mill cold rain now. Plenty of slush on the streets. Nothing is icing up.

I had a nice burst of snow. Started 45 minutes ago, and ended around 11AM. Dusted the ground.

Wife and I drove through Beverley Shores and Michigan City through Michiana Shores a few weeks ago. The road through Beverley Shores is closed as you enter La Porte County. The rest of the lakeshore roads were okay. Unfortunately, it will be dark when I finish work tomorrow, otherwise we would take a quick trip to Whiting.