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TheRegionRat

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Everything posted by TheRegionRat

  1. SREF Plume mean at GYY is 15 inches. I don't know if these are very accurate, but that's as high a total as I can recall. It's in line with the NAM and HRRR.
  2. When will the second wave get sampled, or is that rather inconsequential to what we've seen in the models this afternoon?
  3. Winter Storm Warning hoisted for Kankakee, Livingston, Lake (Indiana) and Porter Counties.
  4. When will the storm come ashore and get sampled? Monday night or sooner?
  5. Typical lake effect. You're probably no more than 10 miles from as the crow flies. The west trend on the short range models is pointing towards Chicago now. Hard to get amped up about a narrow band of lake effect until it happens. Cautiously optimistic.
  6. I guess I'll drop it in this thread. Lake County Indiana under a Winter Storm Watch due to possible heavy lake effect snow tonight into tomorrow. I try not to get too hyped up when dealing with lake effect.
  7. Measured five inches of snow. Thought it would be more.
  8. There are a few of us hearty souls living in the shadows of the stacks. Snow globe effect right now.
  9. Measured 11 inches on the lid of the garbage can in the alley. Measurements in the alley where anywhere from 15" down to 8" in windswept areas. Under the big pine tree, measured 11 inches. Somewhat sheltered, unobstructed areas, anywhere from 12" to 15".
  10. Lake effect still ripping here. Almost north to south orientation. If it slides just a mile east, and sits a bit, the snow will pile up quickly.
  11. Absolutely nuts here with snow and wind. Are blizzard thresholds within reach?
  12. Snowing at a good clip right now. Radar returns show a veritable firehose effect over the area at the moment. Shoveled a couple of inches of pixie dust this morning.
  13. Lake County, Indiana is also included in the warning based on my NWS forecast. Is that correct? Or at least part of the county??
  14. The 18Z HRRR is burying Chicago. I recall reading that the model has a tendency to overdo lake effect snow. Even if it's by 20%, the city is looking at almost 20 inches of snow in parts.
  15. Don't jinx me. You were pointing out that the forecast parameters are amongst the best we've seen this winter. I certainly hope the parameters materialize and then we'll see if the band settles over one spot for awhile.
  16. It started to mix with rain here. More rain than snow.
  17. Pretty good birthday. The 53 year old snow thrower started right up this morning. Around 10 inches of snow has fallen. The snow wasn't as heavy as I expected it to be. Unfortunately the beach area in Whiting was closed today.
  18. Went up indeed. I'm optimistic that this event will be on the top end of the forecasts.
  19. I'm a bit bummed. My NWS forecast has 3-7. Seems a bit low. SREF plumes for Gary are pointing to almost 10". The NAM versions are on the lower end of the spectrum.
  20. Isn't that the truth! So is the block that sheared the last storm, the same block that keeps this low from cutting west? A quick aside, I'm using the term block because it was tossed about a lot the past few days. It may not be the correct terminology.
  21. Not much snow here for the event. Maybe three inches? Might be generous. It has become a veritable skating rink overnight.
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