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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. NAM looking juicy at 60. A little less cold push on the east coast than 12Z. But minimal changes.
  2. The importance of the 50/50 for our temps cant be overstated. Storm is driving into cold NW winds. And the CAD holds on throughout the entire event.
  3. Your flight will probably be fine. But good luck getting around on the roads. We dont do snow driving very well here.
  4. An inch of total QPF out this way on the Euro. Would be well over a foot if its accurate.
  5. Euro drives the dry slot pretty far north this run. Some backside love out this way though. Beautiful run for the Northern Shen Valley.
  6. All of the models seem pretty much in agreement now. QPF is a little different on each. But the general idea is identical. Its a 6-12 for everyone. Perfect classic snowstorm.
  7. It looks really bad out towards Roanoke and the southern Shenandoah Valley. I hope they get a thump of snow up front to make it easier to clear the roads. Edited to add amazing how inside 90 hours the GFS starts to get a clue. Euro has been rock solid for days at this point.
  8. We all knew a north shift was coming. It happens every single time. Like I said. Nothing worse than being in the bullseye 6 days out. It is going to snow. We just dont know how much yet. The chances of a shut out are zero imo.
  9. Yep. Its faster this run for sure. And souther. Congrats CHO
  10. A little half inch precursor would be nice.
  11. This hangover is just horrific. Still think it will come north a little bit. Always does.
  12. Bro. We have been begging for cold for a decade at this point...
  13. I lost 8 inches. Ji would be ruined from that. Edit: Like I said earlier. A LOT of us are going to screwed during the WAA. It is the the way the cookie crumbles.
  14. The trend is what it is. I wonder what timeframe the models the actually start to figure out just how strong the confluence is. It is New Years Eve. And I have already been drinking since 1:30 so my memory is a little wrecked right now.
  15. I mean if I am honest I might actually trust the 84 hour NAM more than the ICON.....just saying
  16. I honestly cant remember the last time the Euro had me below freezing for the extended amount of time it did this run. It reminds me of the 1989 cold outbreak. Here are the coldest temps for our area on the run.
  17. Yeah. Someone is gonna get screwed out of the WAA. Just the way these things go. My wag is it ends up a little further north than even here. Nothing worse than being in the bullseye at day 6.
  18. Euro has been pretty rock solid on its depiction. Could be rock solidly wrong though.
  19. 0Z HRRR gets some streamers out this way New Years afternoon. For those of us that live in the middle of nowhere.
  20. Models are showing some decent activity on the southern stream. I think they are just struggling to figure out when/if anything is going to phase. A big dog is still on the board imo.
  21. I think it is trying to jump. Seemed odd to me. It was tapping the Gulf pretty well.
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