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NYCweatherNOW

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Everything posted by NYCweatherNOW

  1. I highly doubt it honestly not one model shows that...
  2. Why can’t u guys think positive and say my gut is telling me this is just right a phaser with a benchmark track 980 low
  3. I mean no offense but it’s better and that’s light snow showing up on the GfS probably white rain but still snow.
  4. Well I meant to say it’s a lot better I got excited
  5. So far the GFS has a better northern interaction up to 96 hours. Should be a better run just off that. Let’s see what happens
  6. Icon is east and weaker but still has precip here.
  7. Ukmet track isn’t exactly ideal. It needs to go west another 50 miles and we need a sub 980 storm for this to be a real bomb
  8. I don’t believe that! Not with a strong dynamic low like that that’s just my opinion. edit I can see how the guys maybe in the western fringe in PA maybe get some light rain, but remember this isn’t spring, it’s still an okay airmass... the 850’s and everything above surface are below 0 Celsius.
  9. Chris your an stat guy... when was the last time we had a miller A with a similar airmass that worked out and dropped us a bomb!
  10. Are you saying it’s game over for the city 100%?
  11. Guys you guys are very knowledgeable... I have a question, do you guys think that New York City is game over for this upcoming threat cause all the guys on the nyc forum think it is except us weenies of course? All jokes aside is it over or not?
  12. If this storm is a sub 980 millibars low pressure and tracks over the benchmark with a classic +PNA trough, I don’t think you need northern stream interaction to overcome the wetbulbing effect. Globals always underestimate the thermals which in my opinion is huge, it’s happened too many times to name. Evaporative and dynamic cooling with a sub 980 storm will give New York City a big snowstorm. That’s my opinion.
  13. It’s not impossible but it’s thread the needle here. It needs a perfect track with a 975 or lower for this to be an all snow event in New York.
  14. You’re right I was wrong, Tucky but at least it’s not out to sea!
  15. Icon is a SECS. Hands down best icon run I’ve ever seen so far with this model
  16. How’s the 6z eps looking asking for Anthony
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