Scud
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Everything posted by Scud
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CMS has an interesting solution. Temps at this time are 0C at BWI. Could be the mother of all CADs
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If anyone wants to watch 10-20 inches of powder with gust to 45 mph over next 48hrs, the show is about to start. Just search Teton Pass Wyoming cam. Fours views, updates every 2-3 minutes.
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12z surface plots, old school.
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The return flow system this Saturday has been mentioned. The latest ZR forcast, from NAM and GEM. The GFS has nothing. Something to look at while we suffer the midrange blues.
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Priceless...
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From your lips to God's ears.......
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That 12z Euro was as close as it could get. Good sign. GFS splits energy in two. Fascinating.
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Looking at the Great Lakes Storm. It's track and mid level development mean everything for us.
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Well don't loosen your seatbelt. Max snowfall band shifted 150 miles SE 96 hour 12z GFS, To northern Illinois.
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00z run no help. Models likely to remain in flux till after Great Lakes Storm is passed. Scud
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If the coastal trof forms, it will be colder still.
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You are correct.
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06z data showing a developing coastal trof with a CAD next system.
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Should gets some "pingers," in the metro, to herald in the WAA, per November, 15 degree rule Scud
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I think so. Scud As an aside, we called it the five day lie.
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What we know. A series of Arctic air masses move SE. The first will reach us Thursday, but it's just a kiss. A warm core Storm will develope in strong warm air advection as, "kiss," moves off shore. Then, ridge developes rapidly over Rockies at 500mb. Then, the table is set. Scud
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Likely would be 60% chance. Euro amplifies early, as does GEM, then strong clipper. This far out its simply a timing issue. You guys were having too much fun dancing in the, "Faties," with last event. Just had to join the conversation. Scud
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06z GFS: looks like 500mb cyclone sets up just north of Great Lakes. Several short waves do the fugi-wa with amplification last run around 12/1. Winter Storm likely. Scud Fugi-wa is a Japanese term used to describe vortexes spinning around each other.
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06z GFS: Artic kiss on Thursday looks colder, -13c @850mb 18z. Scud
