LeesburgWx
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Everything posted by LeesburgWx
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DT aleet for his website crashing
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18z GEFS Ensembles. Stolen from New York City thread. Looks much better!
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With so much talk about snow and mixing line, how do the winds look for this storm for the region?
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With so much model watching over the last couple of days, it feels like this storm is about to start tomorrow. But it is still 4-5 days away. There is plenty of time for adjustments.
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We should take these 06z EPS and run because I am not sure it gets better than that with all things considered
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GFS leads the way. Hopefully the euro remains east of the GFs. Obviously, ICON sucks but that seems to be best case scenario right now.
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We have NOGAPS & ICON on our side. How can we lose?
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The 18z GFS ensembles saved many weenie lives in here just now until the 18z euro rolls in
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All ensemble means are still off the coast right? If any 18z GFs ensembles support this, we in deep sh*t
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I think based on the Ops and their corresponding ensembles, we honestly are sitting pretty damn nice for this lead time. The details show that there is likely going to be a sizeable storm but the exact track is of course still up for debate. Someone is getting smoked though whether its NC to Maine.
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@ CCB
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Wow I am shocked the models are all pretty similar now but getting there in different ways.
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Anyone sacrifice Ji yet before the euro run comes in? We need all hands and luck on deck
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This is every storm though
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Perfect Leesburg Lolly to even keep @Ji happy!
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GFS is going to lead the way again boyz. The big ones are sniffed out early.
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So to summarize, we are playing the numbers game like salesmen. Make enough phone calls or get enough storms in a given pattern, one will eventually hit.
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Looking at individual ensemble member runs is like window shopping. You can salivate and wonder what its like to have it, but you never will because you can't afford it.
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So we usually complain it’s the storm after the storm on models but now we are rooting for the storm after the storm…
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This is pretty good signal, no? I mean it's 180 hours out but that is a hell of a lot closer than 280-384 hours out.
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I’m watching news and radar videos of 2016… God, I hope this pattern gives us the unicorn we are looking for.
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Just measured exactly 5 inches in downtown Leesburg.
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What kind are you drinking?
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This was never a more than 2-4 inch storm guys. Although, I’m hugging DT’s 4-7 inch call.
