digital snow

Raleigh is getting snow from this. Trust

pouring snow and wind whipping near downtown Durham. Closing in on an inch

Not a flake here. I heard that folks in wnc had their vacuums out last night and sucked up my snowstorm.

I don't think someone has to get screwed here. More interaction and a low closer to the coast should backfill nicely. Maybe on the NW side of the low, wherever that ends up??

This one

no warnings yet... will someone get a blizzard warning? Never officially happened here. Not out of the question for down east.

Getting spicy!

Doom and gloom on this board over a possible epic storm. You guys like snow, right? We are chasing snow in the south. Isn't the reason that we track because of the possibility of a super rare event, and that's exciting? Stop chasing every model run, they are all wrong. That is what makes this a fun hobby, that they all might be wrong. Your gf didn't dump you if the gfs comes in south. Let's keep it in perspective. I hope y'all score! No, I am not that new here

Yes, it won't look like the map. Someone will see way less, maybe (probably) me. It is just odd that the models show certain trends and the tv mets are dry slot this lower totals that and the professionals keep putting out graphics that say hold my beer. New graphics just came out, no change. It's fascinating.

RAH maps have consistently been showing more snow than forecast. TV mets have to be conservative, and I don't pay attention to social media mets for the obvious reasons. NWS has been consistently showing a jackpot from southern pines north to alamace/orange county line. I am with y'all. The models are not spitting out those numbers for the most part, but the nws maps keep going up. When that reverses course, I will change my thinking. I also remember a storm in early/mid 2000's that dropped heavy snow 12+ in in Charlotte and 12+ on the obx while rdu had a few inches. Bush was visiting Charlotte that day. I can't remember important shit, but I remember that for some reason. Anyway, the double jackpot dry slot blah blah can and has happened, but until the nws maps change, I am not buying it.

Yes, it is very likely that RDU sees a significant snow, but not the low percentage boom scenario. But if this baby booms, nws says it booms imby. Ill take that all day!

Hot off the press! I've never seen a double digit percentage for 18+ in CNC. I like to gamble, let's bring it home!

NWS Bullish with boom scenario

My grandpa used to say....That ocean is rather warm Laddie and these bastards always tick NW

Well, it's not an app runner... yet. I am positive about the weekend, just traumatized from the huge jumps last week.

I am already cooked down here. I bought a sled, then some sleet cleats, and then batteries. Shit, I might need an umbrella. Good Luck to my previous crew!

Starting to resemble 2002 ice storm for NC piedmont. We got a quick 2-3 hour thump of snow and over an inch of freezing rain in Durham. I was sitting in my hot tub and transformers were exploding all around. I shit you not, I thought it was lightning lol. (disclaimer- I was 22 and having a storm party) Life pretty much stopped for a week. Cheers to hoping for the sleet!

OK, my bad. It is totally possible that non frozen reaches southern Johnston county. I see close to wake and think Raleigh. I believe Raleigh remains frozen the whole time. The wedge can't overcome the warm gulf moisture tapping into warmer gulf stream moisture. The southern coastal plain might remain rain all together. Still not analysis, but ok. No hard feelings. Don't ever move SE of Wake if you hope to see frozen.

Because WRAL futurecast said so? That is like when I drive by Costco on Saturday and claim we are not heading into a recession. There are people buying lots of shit, told ya!

My forecast looks good. I am hoping the cold over performs and we see souther trends today. Not being a deb, but the big ones here almost always play out the same. For pure snow we need the S slider look the GFS was throwing out until yesterday. Phase= ip and zr for NC Analog is 5-7 days out maps show huge snow totals and it looks like we are going to get smoked 4-5 days out the N trends start and NC weenies start to head for the cliff 2-3 days out we are hanging on to snow totals by a thread as it becomes clear that warm air is going to overwhelm the mid layers and congrats DC I know I have said this before, but 2016 is a good analog, only we have better forecasting tools. GSO was forecasted to get 12-18 in snow. The clown maps held until the night before the storm. It snowed for 5 minutes before it switched and sleeted heavily for over 24 hours. We had 4-5 in of sleet in 2016 there. There were 30 in snow totals in DC burbs I still have a good feeling that we will get a high impact winter storm here in central NC

It is my 4th season back in NC. Much appreciation to the SE crew! Everything is still on the table. edit: I remember being in NC in the Walmart in 2008 when they just got tv screens that showed the weather above the check outs. We were forecasted to get 12-16" and the screen flashed to 33 degrees and rain while I waited in line to buy my ice cream. F that

First call for the NC triangle Snow 1-4 inches Sleet 2-3 inches zr- .30 seems reasonable for my hood Look on the bright side. if you are in my hood, time off at work most def

My 2 dollars (inflation) The models don't have it honed in yet. It is drifting N. It was always going to drift N. That sleet bomb depicted in GA has been hunting me down for the past two days. I thought I saw it in the HT parking lot. If you have been in C NC 25 yrs+ you know in your deepest of hearts that we will top out at 6 in. of snow (likely less) and sleet and freezing rain our way home. I hate it, you hate it. For the nerds out there it is called climo. Fwiw, this is going to be a huge winter storm. Living in NC means you can't get your panties twisted up over ptypes. Godspeed.

The radar looks juicier and ahead of schedule there is moisture coming off the Atlantic with precip breaking out in the coastal plain already. Good luck everyone!