AU74

3 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said:

How do you forecast with these crappy models. 72 hours away they can’t somewhat agree. I don’t know what to make of any forecast for Sunday night/Monday. I think Late mon, Tues is fairly clear at least for northern MD with snow/maybe ice to rain though 

Weather forecasting predates models, IIRC.

34 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

@psuhoffman

GEFS through d12 or so shows a repeating pattern of storm tracks. Some with 3 in a row. Obviously expecting 3 clean storms in a row is complete crazy talk... I just like seeing the potential for 3 chances in 2 weeks. Give us 3 chances and we'll prob hit on 1 of them. The way this year has treated us it would make sense to hit 2-3 out of 3. I just want another event so I can top climo. Don't care how it happens and don't care if it's a thump to rain. 

On a side note... My son has made $600 cold cash shoveling this year. He's only 14 and between his summer lawn mows/odd jobs he's pulled in nearly $1,200. He bought a refurbed macbook pro already and still has a box full of cash. He's a great son on all levels. As long as he avoids problems with drugs and alcohol he's going to be very successful in life. 

If he can make it over to Colesville, he can add us to his client list.

4 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Yeah I've been reading up on that storm lately...those pics are amazing! (And I can imagine the forecasting pandemonium since they had only called for a few inches at best...lol)

I was 7 years old for the '66 blizzard and our Silver Spring neighborhood was buried. We had tons of fun tunneling through drifts.  The biggest one I can recall was about 8-10 feet tall and completely blocked access to the front porch and door of a good friend's house.  Another, in his backyard, was about 5 feet but was a consistent 5 feet all over his flat backyard, except the area right against the house which had so little snow you could see the grass.

4 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said:

Not sure why LWX hasn’t expanded the SSW east yet...

Seems irresponsible.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Let me know how it goes. Wife is at Weis now. Told her to wait. Warned her it was coming. I’m stuck in Baltimore as usual. 

Worst of it looks headed straight to Baltimore.

Just now, wxtrix said:

yep.  the Weather Channel owns Weatherundground.

Exactly. Maybe they should spend less time giving stupid names to winter weather, more time vetting their data feeds.

Yup, but not consistently. One screen says 2in. Drill down says 1 in.

4 minutes ago, wxtrix said:

nope.

 

On wunderground.com the forecast for my closest weather station - Stonegate - said 2 inches for today, same underlying source, presumably.

7 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Did anyone seriously think that giving the Euro two more chances a day to say no would be an improvement ?

So, if we get rid of it altogether, we get more snow! 

17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I like how the Maryland DOTs are wasting taxpayer money with bringing when it's going to start as a mix or rain (I-95 east) for a time.

Similar to security theater at the airport.

12 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said:

i mean jesus did turn water into wine. 

Big deal, Ji turned frozen water into whine.

17 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

For me ..

#1 - (93')

#2 - (2-10-10) 2nd Feb blizzard 

1966 there were drifts over 10' in my White Oak Maryland neighborhood. Endless fun for my seven year old self.

47 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

To keep things in perspective:  If you look at the top DC winter storms:  Eight from late January into mid February (1899, 1922, 1966, 1999 (ice), 2000, 2010, 2011, 2016), Three have fallen on President's Day (1979, 1983, 2003); and one in March.  I don't give up until March 14 (Superstorm'93).  

March 13th, 1993, in DC area anyway.  My daughter's second birthday.

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

If you have a front or all wheel drive it will be a breeze. Roads will be mostly empty

Okay, And if you get that Rockville-Columbia death band, please make sure it is wide enough to include Cloverly.  And Colesville.  That is all.

Just now, Chris78 said:

Flurries at capital one arena.

Heading there in a couple of hours for the Caps-Jackets game.  Wondering how bad the drive from Glenmont Metro back to Cloverly is will be afterward, around 10:30pm.

42 minutes ago, Chase said:

LWX also modified how they will do the Winter Weather Outlook for the week... interesting dividing lines.

The Shenandoah Valley in me also resents being named the "Piedmont."

Nice for weenies, but I hope that's not their primary way of alerting the public.  Way too complicated.

7 minutes ago, yoda said:

This plus a fabled 50-75 mile shift to the north.

11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Nope. 50 is about 10 miles north of 66 west of the city.

Okay, but Google agrees with my memory from when I worked in Chantilly 40 years ago.

5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Hmmm. I said a couple of days ago that I thought 66 would end up the cutoff. I think i am going to bust. Maybe route 50 instead? Either way that puts me out of the game. Congrats to ya'll down south. Enjoy.

I thought 50 and 66 crossed each other.

48 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said:

It's easy to criticse from the sidelines but no body knows what happened before hand or what they were thinking. I for one am grateful they are okay and have no intention of talking negatively about them. To each their own though 

Where else should people comment from, under several feet of surge?

14 minutes ago, H2O said:

In case anyone was wondering, its still muggy as fuuck outside.  Please have this cold front do to the humid air what the Saints offense did to the Skins defense

Please, make this so. the humidity is starting to cause my hardwood floors to cup, despite keeping the AC on very cold.  Probably should get a dehumidifier.

3 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said:

It's the banter thread your safe here. To be fair that probably would have passed on the main thread. Were running in unprecedented territory with this storm so will just have to find out. I'm not willing to take a more southwestern landfall off the table until the 0z Euro has a say in this.

It was moved here from the Storm Mode thread, lol.

2 minutes ago, Jakkel138 said:

There's a storm mode thread now. 

Yep, it was posted after the old one closed.

Main Flo thread appears to be locked.