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Malacka11

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Everything posted by Malacka11

  1. I know a lot of people don't like the ICON on this forum (or that's the impression I've gotten at least) but it's been pretty consistent so far with a northern track... until now, where it shifts as far south as the NAM did or further.
  2. At what point do the NAMs become worthy of a glance?
  3. Be still, my heart. Do you have a pic by any chance?
  4. The GEFS sums up the change in the GFS's depiction of the event nicely. Farther south, but slightly weaker. 00Z: 18Z:
  5. *It's the most wonderful time, of the year*
  6. Indeed. Somebody said a week or two ago that they had a lot of faith in this being the predominant track of the winter, and so far they're right.
  7. Huh. Yeah, if you discount those 24+ inch values, the would-be storm becomes a lot more believable.
  8. What's the latest on the Monday-ish time frame? Haven't had time to check the models or anything yet today.
  9. Absolute U N I T of a storm. It's strange to imagine that the locally crazy snow totals may not have even been the most impressive thing about GHD I.
  10. The ICON agrees, though it takes the system further west
  11. I hear you and raise you this hilarious CMC output from last night: Obviously this was just some laughable model fluff (if only it weren't), but simply out of curiosity, has such a widespread event ever occurred in the history of this country?
  12. Honestly. It feels like we just resumed February of last year or something.
  13. 18z gfs is once again slightly more organized than previous runs regarding Thursday-Friday... At least it seems like it to the naked eye. It's definitely not-black and-white map like it was a few days ago...
  14. Thanks a bunch chief, that's what I thought it was, I was just confused about whether the GFS is the original model with no altered parameters or if it's just one of the GEFS ensemble members. Thank you for clarifying
  15. I concur. I have a question, perhaps you can answer it: What's the relationship/correlation between the GFS and GEFS? I know this is a very basic question, but I've been wanting to ask it for a while because I feel like I'm missing something.
  16. Agreed. Tonight's model runs will be exciting...
  17. Because I have a tendency to believe anything blue Also, I mean believe as in "mayhaps worthy of a glance", not "separate-thread discussion worthy" lol
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