McMinnWx

Radar looks pretty clear to our west and southwest, but I’m guessing the stuff is going to start spinning up. 

Sun is out here in Athens. Appears to be clearing to the west. Imagining this is not good news. 

1 minute ago, jaxjagman said:

Holy....

45 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

 

Forgive my ignorance - what is this? It doesn't look good, whatever it is.

1 hour ago, yoda said:

 

Yikes! I just pulled the STP from the 06Z NAM. Double-yikes. This is at 03Z Friday. 

Getting some sun here, too. I fear things may get dicey down this way after dark. 

Nah. Get that 2011 talk out of here. Nope. Let’s not do that again. 

24 minutes ago, nrgjeff said:

I was thinking Deep South MCS wash-out. Just heavy rain Tennessee. That's ugly to storm chasers, lol.

OK getting, serious, beyond hyper-cynical dripping-sarcasm Jeff, the wind fields are there. 700 mb Ts* are just right (not too warm cap, not necessary widespread rain) however the ECMWF is showing just that type of rain. Deep South goes slop-fest, which cuts off LLJ into Tenn. If you fear severe, all that is good stable news Tennessee.

I infer caution from MRX. Does not sound like they are sounding alarm bells even internal. Any media hype is total trash. Something interesting for severe wx enthusiasts to track. However it'll probably bust.

*I use 700 mb Ts to cross check instability this time of year. Five days out is awful early to use forecast temperature soundings. Winds like VBV can be used for the same reason we look at constant pressure charts (850/700/500 etc). 

Thank you to you and @crossbowftw3!

I had the displeasure of experiencing the 2011 tornadoes. To see it was a bit traumatic is an understatement. 

How ugly are we talking regarding this Wednesday event?

1 hour ago, TellicoWx said:

Kinda surprised, checked temp history and been at 35 past 3 hrs. Figured everything was gone, but went to get in the car and everything is still coated in a ice crusted slop of sleet.

There was a good amount of sleet on the ground down here, and then the rain showed up. 

Sleeting hard here. 

Was Huntsville supposed to get that much?

4 minutes ago, Kasper said:

You sure, I think that’s ash lol, I see nothing

Lol yup! I’m over on Crestway. It’s still coming down. 

2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Snow?


.

Amended: this might be sleet. It’s making too much noise when it hits. 

2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Snow?


.

Yup. Coming down at a decent clip. 

I can’t believe it. Nothing crazy, but I’m impressed that it broke through the dry air. 

Snowing here. 

2 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Weather done has now been fully deployed here in the southern valley...starting to know what a donut holes feels like.

This is crazy. Even Meigs got an advisory. I can’t believe McMinn, Bradley, or Monroe got an advisory. 

Latest HRRR brings snow back to the valley. 

Schools are starting to close down this way.  Bradley and Cleveland are out tomorrow.

Latest from MRX. 

That's disappointing.  The HRRR showed snow up until 18Z and it has just disappeared for my neck of the woods.  Oh well.  Good luck to everyone else!

Snow disappeared from the valley on the last HRRR run.

33 here, DP 21

Clouds have arrived here.  Sitting at 27.  Will be interested to see how much warmer it gets.