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TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

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Everything posted by TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

  1. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GFS looks slightly different tonight. Maybe I am just seeing things.
  2. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GFS caves and it is game over. Maybe in 2024?
  3. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    An act of God :+) I moved up to the Raleigh area in 2019. Been mostly meh since. Blame me.
  4. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GEFS shifted totals quite a bit NW, towards the mountains.
  5. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    A few more NW trends and Minnesota/Illinois are in the game.
  6. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    It will likely continue the NW trend, closer to the CMC
  7. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    CMC is into the Great Lakes, lol
  8. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    A few more NW shifts and Kentucky and Ohio will jackpot.
  9. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    One thing I have noticed over the years of model watching. Once the models start trending away from snow over a day's worth of runs, it almost never comes back to snowy solutions. Same cannot be said for the reverse.
  10. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GEFS has backed off, CMC and ECMWF are not on board. Time will tell. We still have time for this to go either way. Safe bet on nothing from northern VA, south.
  11. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GFS is on an island though
  12. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    We all know the rules in most of NC. Wet cold rain, or dry and terribly cold are safe bets until proven otherwise. Models see this when they get closer in.
  13. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Nah, not really. 3 years below average.
  14. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Spring time is in the air according to the 0z GFS
  15. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    RAH
  16. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Now, that was the point
  17. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Spring is coming
  18. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I will trust the experts until they change their statistical standards. You keep trusting who you want, more power to you.
  19. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    So, not trusting a random person on the internet over experts is why people keep getting into crappy situations. Got ya.
  20. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    You know the answer here. Nada.
  21. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    The 90s never existed in NC winter weather history :+) Still doesn't take away from what I said. It will be 3 years below average in a row and we will be going on to year 4. I have always heard 6 inches is the average from a few reliable sources. I will stick with that.
  22. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    The average is 6 inches period. We are currently at half that. If we get no more snow this winter it will be 3 years in a row below the average. No other way to spin it really. Still plenty of time no doubt but will we get there?
  23. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    0.5 here
  24. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    4 in a row?
  25. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Another winter with RDU below average in snowfall?
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