SnowGolfBro

I didn’t want to miss the heavies for fear we mix before i wake up lol. Heavies commencing in Montclair and its glorious. Also cold! 

quick quick dusting in Montclair. Awaiting the better returns to the Southwest

Just now, Snowchaser said:

I’m at my cabin in snowshoe WV. I’m expecting a crazy night. Hopefully will see some big fatties  

And hopefully some snow too 

2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

The short range models at 18z have been abysmal with what has transpired in western Tennessee and Kentucky. Their radar presentation isn’t close to reality.

WAA Snow waits for no man...or model

2 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

7 hours ago

Reading comprehension meets Snowgolfbro lol

7 hours ago, Deer Whisperer said:

24.8/14 in lake ridge

Assuming you are at 34.8 in lake ridge? 35 in Montclair

As long as we can avoid cloud cover until 7 or 8pm I think most of us will dive back into the 20s pretty quick.  Obviously the favored areas may already be there but more referencing the fall liners.  The dry airmass is stout.

11 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Congrats Ji

The teachers will have Ji’s head if this verifies

9 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

Glad we have consensus like 24 hours away.  
 

 

We are like 12 hours from first flakes lol.  But don’t worry 18z will be different. Hoping for a last minute positive trend! Reverse bust!

Just now, Quasievil said:

I really don't understand this warm layer on the RGEM. With 700 and 850's warm, this explains why the RGEM is holding back on totals. This will be the time it gets it right. Where my 40" from a few weeks ago?

I think this is the model’s attempt to factor in banding. So that signifies a heavy band through PWC at hour 30 that is just puking snow which cools the climb just enough!

It is certainly a cold day considering we have had full sun most of the morning.  31 degrees with more cloud cover now.  Kids went outside to play, but they came in quick.  Cold not as fun without the white stuff

1 minute ago, Dabuckeyes said:

I mean it is the best model that works 1/4 of the time

60% of the time it works every time.

The Euro is still pretty new to the 18z model game.  So we have to take that into consideration...I’ll see myself out.

Just now, ErinInTheSky said:

I hate the Euro. It's such a fail for the different scenarios that would give much enjoyment.

At least with the GFS and co, it's a ton of snow.

And with the NAM, it's 3" of sleet and then freezing rain to make the biggest mess we've seen in a while (and this is my personal favorite solution because, again, I LOVE 3"+ sleet bombs)

 

But the Euro? Non-warning snow, insignificant sleet, and a tenth an inch of Zr

We toss

2 minutes ago, blueberryfaygo said:

Most of this is snow verbatim:

 

Hold strong little roots...

11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

 

25 mile north shift and that dark purple blob will be directly over PWC.  I am setting the bar at 3 inches and then a glacier.  

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB PARA 0Z

A puking followed by a glacier encased in ice.  Yeah go ahead and sign me the f up

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Ahh the PWC jackpot 3 days out...I haven’t fallen for that one in at least a week

I think if i slant the yard stick, ah never mind let’s just call it an inch in Montclair. Light flurries still falling

A nice dusting in Montclair. SN- at the moment. Hoping those better returns can creep up this way

2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

If it snows 5” 30 miles south of Dc.. there are no words. 

Unless of course you live 30 miles south of DC 

1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said:

 

15 miles might get us to the 2 inch line.  These things always verify north of guidance am I right?!

9 minutes ago, PWC Split said:

50 miles further north would do the job.  Let’s go @BristowWx

This is coming north. We are getting shellacked with 2-4 inches.  That cutout is BS.  Starting with Euro then the mesos at happy hour.  It’s on! Buckle up!

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I’ve seen this movie before and the ending never improves.  We need like a 50 mile tick north.  

Where is Jebman?! He usually pops in to ensure us that PWC will get shellacked by snow and this is our storm!

Snow in Montclair, but a warm snow. Need wave two to tick North 50 miles today!