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Beachin

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Everything posted by Beachin

  1. Beachin
    Nam is definitely holding energy back resulting in a slower storm and slower transfer. Heights definitely amplified rather well to the closed low formation in the Midwest.
  2. Beachin
    Oh I agree for sure but 09z run had the mean at bwi 2 inches and now its 6 so it's definitely went up alot from this morning
  3. Beachin
    I know it's the SREF but they have shifted north again from 15z. Here is BWI and even APG the mean Is 4.5 almost 5 inches
  4. Beachin
    Rgem is
  5. Beachin
    3k NAM keeping the trend alive
  6. Beachin
    Good to see the NAM finally show what it should have 12z
  7. Beachin
    CMC Is better then its 00z run for most.
  8. Beachin
    Kuchera ratios based off a blend of models DC south side 11:1 DC north side 12:1 Baltimore South side 12:1 Baltimore North side 13:1 going up as you go north Near the Masondixion 15:1
  9. Beachin
    I just checked kuchera ratios and they are around 14:1-15:1 For northern MD North of the 695-70 area so i agree it wont take much QPF to have a good snow up here. If the coastal continues its trend north then we can get even better.
  10. Beachin
    RGEM
  11. Beachin
    Trend is your friend
  12. Beachin
    The confluence has been weaker and weaker ever run. The trend is to also not "flatten out" as much.
  13. Beachin
    Nam is still struggling at the surface as to where the slp should be. This run could have been much much bigger for all. I suspect the "better" models will do better with it. There really is nothing preventing this storm from coming north.
  14. Beachin
    At 42 the heights are way higher then 6z coastal should be north again. 48 so close to something big so so close
  15. Beachin
    Looks like the 6z runs other then the GFS are adding the coastal into the mix big time. Models are figuring this out at the last second
  16. Beachin
    Jma looks good
  17. Beachin
    ?
  18. Beachin
    GFS looks good so far at 24. Seems to be working to close off like a few days ago. heights are higher and its more consolidated
  19. Beachin
    Icon definitely has a much better vort this time
  20. Beachin
    It's actually rather crazy how much better the rgem is vs the nam. Rgem is actually looking even better then 18z did lol
  21. Beachin
    00z rgem maxed out at 48
  22. Beachin
  23. Beachin
    GFS looks much better wow North push is real
  24. Beachin
    You start to see a trend on the NAM
  25. Beachin
    Yeah i just used 70 as a good blend between Nam-Gfs-Cmc still not bad ratios
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