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TampaMan

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Everything posted by TampaMan

  1. TampaMan
    That’s a bit extreme. I don’t think RIC has recorded over a 3 inch system this winter. On top of that, this will be ALL snow, much different than the other systems which all had mixed precip involved. If you don’t want it to snow because it won’t be 6 inches you need to move North.
  2. TampaMan
    I’m with you. Anything over 3 inches from this system in Richmond Metro is a win. I’ll go with 3-5 as my final and last call. I wouldn’t be shocked if we end up with half an inch to an inch in all honesty.
  3. TampaMan
    Blows my mind how much they hate RIC getting snow.
  4. TampaMan
  5. TampaMan
    I was wrong about the NAM.
  6. TampaMan
    Woah now… it does a pretty phenomenal job during real time.
  7. TampaMan
    GRAF seems to be pushing snow across the West Virginia boarder from TN by 7 pm tonight. Could start earlier if correct.
  8. TampaMan
    Not expecting NAM to follow. I expect the NAM to stay consistent as it has been doing. SREF could very well be an anonymity.
  9. TampaMan
    NAM may be a hair less at 18z but likely pretty similar.
  10. TampaMan
    That’s why it’s time to go to short range models imo.
  11. TampaMan
    I agree with your call as well. If this thing starts churning the NAM could be spot on. I think it’s time to stop looking at OP models and rely on short range. We’re within 24 hours now. Almost time to nowcast.
  12. TampaMan
    Euro is a step NW. showing the moisture expanding further as well. I can go against the king now. I’m willing to bet it’s wrong. I could very well be wrong but there are signs.
  13. TampaMan
    High bust potential yes- however things are trending in the favor of this. The ULL and additional moisture is adding to these totals. Precip shield is way more prominent.
  14. TampaMan
    Matt DiNardo came to my 3rd grade class. I was very into weather back then and knew a lot of terminology other kids didn’t. He pulled me up on stage and gave me a few minute interview on TV. Wish I could find it but that is over 22 years ago.
  15. TampaMan
    I went from 3-5 to 2-4 to 1-2 now to 4-6. I think that’s pretty similar to what tv Mets have done. This system is just bonkers. Models have gone so many different ways. If I was getting paid the big bucks for guessing what I guess that’s pretty much exactly what they’re all doing haha.
  16. TampaMan
    NBC12 appears to hold tight with their 2-6 map.
  17. TampaMan
    I wonder if DT browses this thread. Hey DT, if your map verifies I’ll give you a slide of cheesecake from the Cheesecake Factory.
  18. TampaMan
    I’d say as of right now 4-6 is a decent bet for metro. This could change rapidly if these models continue to trend Northwest with the bulk of the precip.
  19. TampaMan
    based on the models he’s using to project this, he’s not wrong. are the models correct though is the real question.
  20. TampaMan
    I think the rest of them will be following suit here shortly. DiNardo just happened to be the first to do it.
  21. TampaMan
    These meteorologists have far more access to data than we can see. There’s a reason to his rhyme.
  22. TampaMan
    Matt DiNardo says their totals map this morning is way too low…. What the hell is going on????
  23. TampaMan
    This system is mind boggling. Will the NAM win? Will the king be dethroned by the soon to be retired NAM? STAY TUNED!
  24. TampaMan
    I should add I meant 1-2 for us RVA folks.
  25. TampaMan
    I’ve seen this on quite a few TV stations as well. GRAF appears to be showing snow on the backend between 9am - 1 pm Thursday. Who knows at this point. Getting some sleep. I gave up earlier but the later models reeled me back in. Everyone get some rest. We wake up to the trend holding or at least 1-2 inches around RIC, and more to the SE of VA. Goodnight everyone!
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