I’m not well versed or educated enough to make a prediction like that. I don’t think it’ll happen but it certainly is possible. I’d say a 1/10 chance (goes in line with the high end total map from the NWS). I think we can comfortably expect 3-5 with pockets of 6 towards the eastern counties in Richmond. Towards Petersburg to Williamsburg expect 6-8 inches. Hampton Roads, Norfolk and VA beach can expect up to 10 inches but I think 8-9 is likely the sweet spot. Mixing could become an issue down there if the low gets closer to the coast like it appeared to do in the 0z NAM. The ULL will occur it’s just a matter of if the atmosphere will still be saturated enough, how quickly it arrives and how long it stays. If it sticks around for 2-3 hours fully expect another half inch to an inch and a half depending on rates. We aren’t getting the MECS or HECS we all wanted but we are indeed getting measurable snow. Many of us will likely have a half day tomorrow with the possibility of Thursday being a remote day or day off.