OrdIowPitMsp

26 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Chanhassen: 82.6"

Dang, what a winter up there.  It's going even higher later in the week, too

The drive from Des Moines to Minneapolis is only 3.5 hours but it’s a whole different world up here. I talk to my brother in DSM often and they’ve had plenty of days in the 40s/50s lately. We’ve still got 12”+ of glacier that isn’t going anywhere.

Classic spring paste job. Looks like 3-3.5” at my house. The southwest suburbs hit the jackpot with 6”+ totals.

Its just massive clumpy dendrites coating everything. Guessing 1.25-1.5” so far, looks like the convection is staying down in Iowa.

8 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Looks like the new storm is moving in to Minneapolis

Yeah pretty solid snow imby right now. Fat clumpy flakes sticking to everything. The forecast for days was calling for rain changing to snow, the HRRR was even showing that all day but it’s all been frozen since onset.

My memory was hazy and my data was a little off. Here’s a graphic from the great winter of 13/14’ showing the top 10 longest snow cover streaks for Minneapolis.

1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Nice thundersnow action in southwest MN this afternoon.

Hoping it makes it way up here. NWS seems pretty bullish on thunder chances this evening. Hopefully I can get some good flashes on the security camera during the SN+ that rolls through.

50 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

The Twin Cities continue to be a snow hole at the onset of a snow storm. I don’t know how to explain it…


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It’s a trick due to how the radar sends out its waves and the curvature of the earth.

https://www.fox9.com/weather/the-mystery-behind-the-snow-hole.amp

The all time record for consecutive days of snow cover is 137 days for Minneapolis. 107 gets us into the top 10. We are going to keep needing these refresher events as the sun gets stronger. 
 

The big difference I’ve noticed here versus growing up in Lake County IL is even on the days that get into the upper 30s/low 40s we melt off much less snow due to the sun angle at this latitude. 

This is starting to feel like our last big dog all over again with models spitting out crazy totals. I guess that means final call imby 12.4”

Models have come into good agreement on a general 2-4” tonight across the area. It’s gonna be water logged concrete.

NAM is falling in line with the globals, Could see a heavy wet 4-7” fall across the metro tomorrow night and Monday. Snow liquid ratios may only be a little higher then what impacted MI yesterday. There’s a very snowy look into the latter half of next week. Go figure I’m flying out to Colorado on Thursday. I’ll have to bribe my neighbor with beer to shovel my sidewalk if it comes into fruition. 

It’s nice seeing it getting light out earlier in the morning, meanwhile a classic battle between globals and hi-res models regarding the precip type here tomorrow night/Monday is unfolding. 
 

0.50” of cold rain or 6” of snow. I know which one I’m rooting for. 

These reports are awesome. Enjoy everyone. Cirrus soaked skies up here.

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

To show just how thread the needle/dynamic cooling dependent this setup is, it's in the 40's and 50's across Iowa and Missouri currently.

 

You’d think there’s not much going on just looking at this map.

1 hour ago, mnchaserguy said:

Looks like the Euro is trending south towards the GFS solution which would put us in the heavier snow. Still could change but it seems like the NAM is the outlier right now. FWIW the GEFS mean snow also indicates its members favor the deterministic GFS solution.


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The NAM was the only model showing a NW solution for the current storm impacting IN/MI and that failed badly. Let’s hope it has a repeat performance for us. 

55 minutes ago, Brian D said:

Another 6" possible here on Monday. Seems we have a pride of lions roaming around to start off March  

Looks like we’ll be riding the edge of rain/snow on this one. GFS puts 6-9” down here but it’s close. Either way nice to have some active weather to track. 

15 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

Nam and gfs are polar opposites for MSP for Monday. Gfs gives us snow and nam gives us rain. Euro is somewhere in between. Which one will be right? Who tf knows any more.


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I think it’ll be a slop storm for the metro similar to this last one, with healthy snows just to the north. Hopefully I’m wrong but seems like we are on the wrong side of the cold air line. 

How many times has Detroit gotten 6”+ of snow on the same day Minneapolis has a high of 40 or above.  There is no cold air to be found. 

If recent trends this winter hold true we should be entering the “substantial drying phase” of the model watching. 

25 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

24 people in here at 6am is fairly impressive. We’re like the older crowd waiting for a grocery store to open.

My body thinks I’m 85, I can’t sleep past 5:30am.

Still have 6-7 weeks of realistic time left on the clock this winter. 

2 hours ago, beavis1729 said:

If I lived in MSP, I'd go with B+...maybe A- at best due to the warmth. 

C’mon man this is a joke right? We haven’t had wall to wall cold, but you aren’t gonna have 70”+ of snowfall around these parts with polar air suppression all winter long. 100% snow cover in DJF, much of it double digit depth. Multiple 12”+ storms, and had some days that stayed below zero. It’s been a weird ice fishing season with deep snowpack that insulated the lakes early and kept ice from getting as thick as years past, but there’s still plenty of ice houses out there. This is an A+ winter, I work outside so I can do without the punishing cold we usually get.

Solid moderate snow in Cambridge MN. 2” down, less then an inch of slop in Minneapolis. 

Oh the southern edge of the snow band this morning. Picking up a wet sloppy inch. My job site up in Cambridge MN will pick up 3-4” today. 
 

March comes in like a lion.