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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Talk about the indicies what’s your thoughts? And if you could post them that would be incredible
  2. Wow the 3 indicies are all off the charts in our favor. We have to start looking at this being the base state for winter. All 3 have been in the right zones for what will be a full month and beyond... in fact the AO tanks by Jan 1 and even the NAO goes pretty negative for its forecast. I don’t remember the 3 looking like this in years.
  3. The nice thing is either scenario we all score. It’s earlier with the GFS and about 12 hours later with the EURO. Nice to see as we get within 5 days now
  4. That’s in CNY? I noticed they only spoke of Lake Ontario LES
  5. They all sucked last storm... they had that storm north, then south, back west then up the coast...
  6. G.F.S. Is damn consistent right now...rest of y’all are just fishing
  7. Well the thing about those events is they’re roughly 15 to 20 years apart... 2001 was the last one and prior to that it was the blizzard of 85...we’re due
  8. And build a second wave BEFORE it hits us??? That’s weird
  9. Well it’s like I’ve been noticing is the band once develops is not stationary...will see many areas get the goods
  10. That’s the issue with winter around here. Our forum rarely all cashed in...and we choose to cherry pick the model that suits our area the best. One thing for due is I’m certain over the next 2 weeks we will all be happy at one point or another
  11. I don’t see a west wind on the Canadian though, I see a S/W that aligns the winds SW twice.
  12. We wait for about 2 hours...the 12z Euro should be done running by then
  13. Still brings about 12 hours of LES to Buffalo and north towns...some of our best events have been sniffed out well in advance...and strangely many have been in this time frame like December 26th 2001...
  14. But obviously I’m twice as geeked at the plume of LES right up the gut of Lake Erie smiling the metro and the northern burbs...that has also been consistent...this storm is only 5 days away...
  15. We jump WAAAAAAYYYY too much from one model run to the other...what do the ensembles show? Plus the GFS has been consistent the last few runs...the euro has shown 3 different scenarios in this timeframe...as Aaron Rogers once famously quipped, R E L A X
  16. 6z GFS through Xmas is still snow porn for WNY...is becoming consistent in its idea.
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