Jump to content


  • Content count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

About adiabatic13

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. adiabatic13

    January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat

    That 3K MAM model is the best! How much milk is it showing for my morning coffee? Seriously though, this board will become less and less readable as GCC takes away more and more of our winter. That’s a prediction you can count on.
  2. adiabatic13

    January 2019 Discussion

    Oh, without a doubt, weather fanatics are a harmless bunch, even to themselves (with the exception of the odd storm chaser)
  3. adiabatic13

    January 2019 Discussion

    I'd actually like to conduct a study re "substance abusers" and "weather watchers," extreme atmospheric events do seem to relieve emotional pain for a portion of the population in the same way that certain substances fill the spiritual void many in the postmodern west are experiencing, the behavior profiles are eerily identical, pretty cool stuff I lurk here often, but post seldom, as I recognize in myself the above mentioned trigger/feedback loop
  4. The red on that map doesn't mean you need rain, it is not a drought map, there is no drought anywhere within 1000 miles of East Brunswick
  5. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Michael

    a lot, no offshore flow along Gulf Coast yet this fall has meant no upwelling of cooler water, and of course SSTs much above normal everywhere
  6. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Michael

    Yeah this thing is the exact opposite of an annular hurricane, must be a lot of vomiting on those recon flights
  7. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Michael

    Thank god for that mid level shear actually, otherwise this would be a truly awesome storm, still may be eventually.
  8. I rely on autumn to provide me with some decent dry, warmish hiking weather...this year has been the most unusable of any of the last 40 that I have lived here. Almost enough to get me seriously thinking of relocating. The outdoors keeps me sane, if this is the new normal then I'll soon be running in circles yelling and waving my arms over my head.
  9. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Michael

    Well, I would think they HAVE to evacuate Perdido Key on account of its name.
  10. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Flo has managed to stall about 40 miles east of shelf waters...lucky girl. Her unwinding is likely delayed until she exits the Gulf Stream.
  11. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Your map actually shows it gaining latitude; for Flo to not be gaining latitude, extrap would have to be parallel to the lines of latitude on that map.
  12. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Tonight's burst of deep convection should rebuild a solid eyewall one last time prior to shelf water disrupting Flo's heat engine; I'm going out on a limb and will forecast Cat 4 for a few dropsondes tomorrow morning...and the unmodeled moderate shear appears to be relaxing as well.
  13. adiabatic13

    Hurricane Florence

    Yes, that shed was incredibly tough; the manufacturer should market them as storm shelters.
  14. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Florence

    no obvious reason other than that environmental conditions have to be oh so perfect for an ATL storm to go above 155mph sustained; that said, Florence looks as good a candidate as I've seen from a historical perspective in that part of the basin
  15. adiabatic13

    Major Hurricane Florence

    No it doesn’t work that way, not if the invest is situated so as to depress heights in a small window to the N of her track