aperson

pretty wild that karen is going to be pulled in by a negatively tilted trough over florida

next recon pass had 992.6 on HDOB 18. Easy come, easy go.

JAXA is now in third place. You going to disappear like you usually do when things aren't going your way? PS, I would love to see you post your verification report on the ASIF where you claimed in July that top 3 SIE/SIA was not happening and top 5 was unlikely.

Hey dude it's really cool that you have an eidetic knowledge of long-tail events in Alabama but in the middle of your myopia you missed like twenty of the president's tweets where he was goading the media and sowing distrust in the NWS. Anyway, if you have a better way to convey impacts in a tweet in response to the president's overblown impact assessment to Alabama that accurately conveys long-tail distribution outcomes to the general populace, I'd love to hear them!

Hey dude it's really cool that you have an eidetic knowledge of long-tail events in Alabama but in the middle of your myopia you missed like twenty of the president's tweets where he was goading the media and sowing distrust in the NWS.

I feel like Ventrice busts a lot but I thought his posts on this domain were really interesting, especially given the timing and infrequency of SHem SSW events:

Can someone that knows the climatology of weenie meltdowns tell me where this one is on the list?

First I laughed then I cried because this is going to erode public trust in meteorologists so much more.

Oh my god why didn't I think to check in on this thank you

Don't look now or you may get whiplash. Energy from Lingling and Dorian in tandem with the current configuration look to constructively split the TPV and resume a +DA pattern.

I just checked the bill of rights and didn't see the clause about "Can assemble on public property unless it's a national security or traffic issue"

I agree with you 10000%. Although I do like its eye temp enhancement. I've also been seeing posts on twitter talking about how strong Haiyan must be compared to Dorian at peak intensity because of how their dvorak presentation was different, so I have accumulated a bit of salt that I had to let out in a blaze of sarcasm.

um actually that means it's even stronger than a major because dvorak underestimates atlantic basin cyclones due to tropopause heights

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2019/06/unforced-variations-vs-forced-responses/

Connolly et al., 2017: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2017.1324974 Emphasis mine. Thus the Alekseev et al. 2016 data set cannot be used to refute the CO2 hypothesis impact on SIE, that is CO2 -> increased temperature -> decreased SIE, because doing so is a circular argument. The rest of your posting career is a similar abuse of scientific literature. People don't engage you because you're correct (you're delusional), they don't engage you because of the Bull**** Asymmetry Principle.