PowderBeard

5 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

The NAM has been reasonably accurate in the last two garbage systems, and seems entirely plausible. I wish I could feel comfortable ignoring it, because its says I am on the outside looking in.

Box's conservative approach seems to have been quite reasonable.  I'm sure more adjustments will come, but it won't be oversteer. 

What a headache if the GFS/Euro are obstinate.  

When temps and terrain matter or its a simple clipper, I like the NAM. However, systems still developing, tons of variables and pieces of energy at play, I don't trust it.

I was kind of laughing at the high numbers getting thrown around but the flaccid water vapor image makes me think the GFS is on this one. 

Oh what a different 24-hours can make.