PowderBeard

Noticing a few models keep snow in the valley and lower hills to east and west mix.  I don't see how cold air funnels down. 

Ripping. 2"

First inch down and some great flakes. 26/23 in Belchertown.

32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Elevated valley location with higher hills to my W and N.  I'm around 350'.  I often do much better than the S valley but I'm not convinced of the higher QPF totals with this complex of a set-up.   I could see this area going 5-7" for round one and 3-5" for round two.   

You being further N will help. I'm in some higher terrain of Belchertown and would love the RGEM to be correct but thinking 4-6" round one , dry slot since we are east of the river, then maybe an inch or two extra. No matter what happy to start December with white. 

Can typically only skin/ski the Holyoke Range a couple days a year. Might be able to come Monday afternoon. 

HRRR going wild for later on from central CT north.

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It must've come down pretty good here in the wee hours because I measured almost 1.25" on the picnic table at 6am.  That was completely unexpected in the valley.  (400') 

Wow. Clearly about being north and not elevation outside the valley.

Got a surprise wake up from the baby at 4am and the deck and other areas were partially white and crusty. Some parts of the lawn and woods are white with sleet.  Hugging 35* right now, I think we flip and get some good flakes later on. 

On 11/14/2019 at 2:19 PM, weatherwiz said:

I've been thinking of re-taking math classes...starting from algebra and then working all the way back up to differential equations...anyone else ever consider this? I'm just not certain it's worth it though. I think math is one of those things that you either just get or you don't. But I'm extremely weak (and continue to get worse) with math and feel like I don't remember even basic algebra anymore b/c I just don't use it. Maybe do some online classes? 

HLM and other regression heavy stats then Bayesian for the win! Accounting for variance and predictive power is where it is at. I was weak in math (barely survived trig in high school) but stats is different than algebra, calc, etc. imo. Any much more useful - at least in research and predictions.

On 11/13/2019 at 8:15 PM, gravitylover said:

When there's wind? Yeah... I love t-bars and pretty much all surface lifts except rope tows. 

"Wind" being the key at Jay - they have no problem shutting the tram and Freezer down for "wind" during slow midweeks in January and February. Is it warranted sometimes - sure. But it's an easy excuse. 

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I had a bad time on a T bar near the summit of Sugarloaf a long time ago

A t-bar at Jay would be nice so there is some way of skiing that place when there is wind or crowds are low.

7 hours ago, subdude said:

Well after a steady run of 32 years skiing every season, I have no choice but to take this season off. I had TKR (Total Knee Replacement) surgery 5wks ago on 10/9. Fully aware I was going to miss this season. I am on the long road to recovery and by next season i'll be itching to get out there but I'm going to have to tone down my craziness when on the mountain which means no more jumps and bumps for this old kid. I hope you all have a great season, it appears to be off to a decent start with natural and pristine snow making conditions.  

Best of luck!  You'll be back! (I thought hip replacements were anti-bump surgery???)

Looking forward to some flakes later but thinking more about a slick commute tomorrow morning in western and central Mass. 

Gusts 20-25. Chainsaw ready.

Seriously - last November was nuts if you were up for earning turns.  Magic was incredible prior to Thanksgiving.

No winds to speak of but 3.55" of rain.

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

26 pages deep, if this were mid winter almost no one would give a hoot. I think we (most of us) are bored and waiting for winter, i know i am.

Yea, why isn't there an obs thread yet? lol

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Was heavy frost all over town below 700 feet 

Still learning, why is this?

13 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

We October Gale of Yore

Did some reading on previous gales. Cannot believe some of those had Cat 2-3 conditions.

35* for a low this morning. Amherst has had multiple frosts the past two weeks but we cannot get one here. I'm guessing being a bit higher up has something to do with it. Want the mosquitos gone. 

18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Dammit.  

The NAM dropped my MVL snowfall from 9.5” at 12z to only 2.6” at 18z.  

Either way people will be posting first turn pics Thursday night/Friday am lol

Think it will be colder here tonight. Already 41 with the woodstove cranking.

6 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

So we got our soil test results back from our awesome back yard. Results look good to me. Plenty of organic matter which makes sense since last Fall's total rework included loam/compost then hydroseed. Yet, after all that and good soil results, it still looks like shit. The rest of the lawn areas tested (not pictured) were decent, but lower in some nutrients. I'm attributing the dead grass in those areas to chinchbug and/or grub damage.

 

Every pic of that area always looks bone dry. Does it bake in the sun all day? Is it compacted in or loose?

Couple weekends ago I burned 75% of front yard down to dirt with a weed wacker, blew it all out, threw down 2 yards of loam, aerated it all, a bag of Scotts Sun and Shade, rolled it, straw on top, and have been watering non-stop. Really impressed what has popped up in two weeks. Looking forward to Wed-Fri rain since I'm getting sick of watering it 2-3x a day. 

On 9/9/2019 at 8:20 PM, powderfreak said:

Magic Mountain is now the tallest ski area in the East.

Well done Magic.

Love it. Had a pass there the past 5 years. If you havent tried it get there. We have turned the mountain into one big glade lol