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klw

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Posts posted by klw

  1. 5 hours ago, klw said:

    Question based on my memory.  The summer of 1993 or 94 (I think 93) had BTV hit 100 2 or 3 days and it had only ever hit 100 2 times before that.  Is this accurate at all?  I am going off of 25 year old memories.

    93 saw a steak of 6 straight days of 90+ but the highest was 93.

    1995 saw 2 100f days;

    https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/climo/extremes/xtrmtemp.pdf
     

    Quote

     

    Highest

    101 degrees- Aug 11th, 1944

    100 degrees- Jul 14th, 1995 Jun 19th, 1995 Jul 3rd, 1911

    99 degrees- Aug 9th, 2001 Jul 20th, 1977 Aug 2nd, 1975 Jul 18th, 1953

    98 degrees- Jul 19th, 2013 Sep 9th, 2002 Aug 1st, 1975 Jul 29th, 1949 Jul 3rd, 1966 Jul 27th, 1949 Jul 8th, 1921 Aug 1st, 1917 Jul 4th & 5th, 1911

     

     

     

    https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KBTV/1995/6/6/MonthlyHistory.html?req_city=&req_state=&req_statename=&reqdb.zip=&reqdb.magic=&reqdb.wmo=

    https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/climo/extremes/extremetemps.pdf

    • Like 1
  2. Question based on my memory.  The summer of 1993 or 94 (I think 93) had BTV hit 100 2 or 3 days and it had only ever hit 100 2 times before that.  Is this accurate at all?  I am going off of 25 year old memories.

  3. Bold:  BTV stays with a Winter Weather Advisory for me due to the long duration to get to the totals.  WWA with potential for 12+.  OK that's interesting.

    https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ012&warncounty=VTC027&firewxzone=VTZ012&local_place1=West Norwich VT&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=43.7499&lon=-72.3782

    ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TUESDAY TO
    8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Snow expected. Snowfall will impact the area from
      tonight through Wednesday morning Over this 30 hour period,
      about 7 to 10 inches of snow is expected. Some of the highest
      elevations will have a foot of snow or more.
    
    * WHERE...Portions of central, northeast, northwest and southern
      Vermont and northern New York.
    
    * WHEN...From 2 AM Tuesday to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. The steadiest
      snowfall will occur during the daylight hours on Tuesday.
    
    * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions,
      including during the morning and evening commutes on Tuesday, as
      well as Wednesday morning. Be prepared for reduced visibilities
  4. 24 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

    You don't think 5 days is enough time to dry out?

    Seeing large parts of my road were washed away and there are roads closed throughout town, getting a heavy rain in a few days would not be a good thing.  The drainage ditch at the bottom of our land is completely filled with rocks and gravel from up the road.  This is blocking the culverts.  There are a number of spots where the road has not collapsed but there is nothing supporting the edges anymore.  I am hoping that we can avoid big rains until the roads are fixed, the repairs needed to stabilize them, and the cleanup is done to stop a quick repeat..

    Here is an article on the weekend flooding:

    https://dailyuv.com/news/910706

    and another

    https://dailyuv.com/news/910805

    For me the 12Z would not be a big deal as it gives me only half an inch but the multiple inch rains are too close for comfort.  That being said, it is the GFS and subject to change.

  5. Fortunately it is the GFS at 5 days out but both the 6Z and 12Z runs would be realllly bad up here, given the flooding over this past weekend:

     

    12Z

    gfs_apcpn_neus_23.png

     

     

    6Z

    gfs_apcpn_neus_26.png

  6. This reminds me of 2012 (I think) where we had cool showery weather in the 30's for Memorial Day weekend and by mid-week we were into the 80's.  I had a half marathon the next weekend and stood no chance as I had no opportunity to get acclimated.  People were dropping like flies.  Here's hoping to a cool first Sunday in June this year though at least we are having some warm days now.

  7. So as I see it for up here...

    NAM...0.2"

    GGEM...0.15"

    GFS...0.4"

    UKMET...0.1"

    ECMWF...1.0"

    The King is either a hero or it falls really hard.

    FWIW (SREF grain of salt warning) the last SREF run brought .6 to IV4 and has been fairly consistent with a mean of 10 inches or so here.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150126&RT=09&PRM=Total-QPF&SID=1V4&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=44.49234506559211&mLON=-72.82372153625488&mTYP=roadmap

     

    Plus the SREF do bring some nice dendrite growth up this way.  I don't look at the SREF for much but I do like the dendrite growth loops.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/sref.php?run=2015012603&id=SREF_prob_dend_50__

    SREF_prob_dend_50__f039.gif

  8. Ran into this article from an Anchorage paper about the storm.

    http://www.adn.com/2...at-western.html

    The last time forecasters saw something similar was in November 1974, when Nome also took the brunt of the storm. That storm surge measured more than 13 feet, pushing beach driftwood above the level of the previous storm of its type in 1913.

    Winds from the current storm were expected to push large amounts of water into Norton Sound, raising sea levels 10 feet above normal through Wednesday.

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