JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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Small shift south on the 06z HRRR as well.
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Yeah, I'm hugging the 03z RAP currently.
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Always. Only hug the models you want to be correct. First rule of model watching.
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Yeah there's a nice -EPO that sets up in a few days, should bring the Arctic back south.
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00z GFS moved a bit back south.
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Advisory for 2-4" up to 6" here.... and 5-10" up to 12" for the Winter Storm Warning.
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Indeed it did, the 700 MB low tracks a bit farther north
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00z NAM shifted a bit back north.
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It's on shore. The temp profiles are messing with the snowfall output since temps are marginal.
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Slight NW shift on the 00z GFS.
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I haven't really been following the long range lately as it hasn't seemed to make a difference and will change. With that being said the 18z GEFS looked decent in the long run and had a nice -EPO coming up which dumped cold.
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00z NAM gonna nudge back north by a bit.
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Speaking of the Chiefs game. Whew, that was close at the end.
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12z GFS is nice. Man, if only this was 48 hours from happening.
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Track of the system, when it pivots and temps will be really crucial, but it pretty much always is in this area.
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Yeah, the 2nd system seems more interesting around the 24-25th.
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We've cashed in on like 200" of snow so far on the models. 12z Euro looked great. Too bad it'll change.
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-EPO starts building in 9-10 days and the more sustained cold will come after that.
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The end of Jan into Feb should be a return of winter per typical La Nina.
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Chance for a snow or mix in some places Monday morning and then the warmup begins. Doesn't look like any more snow chances until sometime next year.
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Around 2-3 here, probably 2.25 or 2.5 or so.
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1 degree with a moderate to heavy blowing snow is pretty darn cool.
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Crazy.
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Snow is really picking up now.
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Springfield's morning AFD mentioned ratios of 16-17 to 1.
