AMZ8990
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Everything posted by AMZ8990
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That would be devastating if it came to fruition. Models seem pretty dialed in on that heavy section of freezing rain accumulation though. The magnitude alone of this storm is impressive without the ice totals factored in.
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Yeah, Ice storms are just no fun. Wish we were gonna see snow like OKC is but that’s just not on the table for us. Hoping it doesn’t affect us to bad, ice could be crippling for some though depending upon the area.
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
AMZ8990 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s awesome man!! -
February discussion for all things winter in the Tennessee Valley Sub-forum. When we have a likely event 2-3 days out we can create an individual thread for said storm. It helps for record keeping purposes as a lot us like to look back on old threads to learn, etc. Hope everyone is doing well.
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I’ll pass on the Ice Storm. Just hoping for a good snow before winter leaves us for the year. I agree with your sentiment about the GFS too, it’s been really impressive at times sniffing out storms in the long range.
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6zGfS has a very active storm track over the next 10-12 days. It’s basically a storm rolling through the forum every 3-4 days. Really good potential going forward for trackable storms in our forum.
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That’s exactly how it went here, south part of the county along the Mississippi line got absolutely hammered but you can’t even tell it snowed in the top half of the county 20 miles north. Same scenario in our border county Mcnairy county.
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My house got maybe a 1/2 inch of snow, 30 miles south, east and west of me got 3 inches+. Pickwick lake picked up like 5 inches. It’s definitely disheartening when a system pans out this way. Pretty cruel honestly, I hope you guys out east fair better than I did.
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Took awhile to change over here but I’ve had light sleet for the last hour. Good glaze on everything. Snow is mixing in now
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Yeah man, it’s pretty neat to see it unfold. It’s weird to see it on radar but it’s beautiful at the same time. Mother Nature is showing out with this one
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Come on Wagner, we all knew this event was gonna start out as rain. Let’s try to keep some positive mojo going on in here. lol
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That’s what I’m saying though, the changeover to snow for him wasn’t supposed to start until around 8pm for Batesville. The snow line is inching its way southeast. He should be in a good spot
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8 inches of heavy wet snow, you know that will be a beautiful sunrise there tomorrow morning!
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It wasn’t supposed to start snowing for them until tonight. They should be getting into it within the next few hours. 8-1am is their prime time to rack up some snow ⛄️
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The Ozark mountains in Arkansas were supposed to get 4-8 from this. The quachita mountains were 2-4. Reports from north/central Arkansas have all been overperforming. Which is good
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I feel ya man, I’m as nervous as you are honestly. And that is the million dollar question isn’t it. The Weather channel Mets are still talking like Nash is in line for 3-5. I honestly don’t know what to think though. I’m gonna try and stay up to nowcast tonight in bolivar, maybe then we can come up with the best spot to go hunting for a big snow.
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According to the fine folks in Ark/Kansas Thread, The HRR was 10 degrees too warm on their forecast for today. Had them at 42 and they haven’t got over freezing all day. Looks like they’ve picked up 1-3 inches of surprise snow in spots that weren’t expecting much. Figured some of you would enjoy knowing the HRR forecast overdid the high temps today in northern/central Arkansas
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Thanks, CG. And I’m right there with you man. Not having uniformity along all models is nerve racking, especially when we are this close to said event. Hoping for the best while simultaneously preparing my mind for the worst, lol.
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NWS must of seem something they liked last night, they bumped totals up to 3-6 instead of 2-4 in my neck of the woods.
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For my west Tn and part of middle Tn folks. Here is a map NWS Memphis put out early this morning. It puts down 3-6 for most of west Tn except the far northwest corner of the state. I-40 from Jackson to Nashville looked like it Was in a good spot again, Good look for the majority of west Tn also though. https://www.weather.gov/meg/winter
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I’ll say this, the EURO has been consistent with this look. Hard not to bite on this with that consistency. Gonna be a long night of tracking ahead!
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It’s a waiting game at this point guys and gals. The Models (specifically short range ones) are gonna spit out some wonky looking solutions while they try to figure out the temperature profiles/timing in the possibly affected areas. This is a long duration event though, so don’t get hung up on seeing rain in the forecast because Everyone is gonna see some rain before they get snow with this event. And Often times those rain to snow events Produce the biggest snows as well.
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It went crazy on the 6z run, big totals in SW Tn that run
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Same thing on the west side of the state. Says 2-4 for MBY.
