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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Wiz wants this NW so we warm sector w convection. May work out . Today will give a lot of info.
  2. Another “sore butting” on the way. John are bums are a mess lol
  3. This is ...and I’m not being “negative “ lol a cutter pattern . Ya some storms will meet the “press” but the long wave pattern FAVORS storms cutting . Need some luck , and luck is not on a hot streak ill take just one more head fake today to Cold this upcoming week to get me happily thru the day , then inevitably we can torch on modeling haha. I am at the bargaining stage.
  4. It’s true. People do this confirmation bias w everything .
  5. Apparently... This is completely up in the air and the weenies will go round And round w model runs
  6. Ya just give me at Least another full day of good model runs with wintery precipitation. Still more enjoyment than a modeled Rainer from a week out yes it’s come to this
  7. That was pitiful processing by me 186/6 (every 6 hours ) would be closer to reality .
  8. with this set up not only is an intense system not gonna bring big snow totals but over running and weaker system*(S) can bring plenty of QPF for quite the event
  9. Only thing going for us was a good high position , that could erode away today ...really nothing to stop that
  10. This is gonna be a fun week there will be melts and where that boundary establishes itself will be key I give this week the best shot of scooter melting and probably Rev as well i like my Spot relative to SNE but if that boundary shifts north were all sipping tropical drinks as somewhere north of boundary is icy and snowy
  11. people may be calling 3 number 2 and vice versa
  12. This is really directed at you bc i see weatherfella and other posting them all the time, but aren't these just like a printout of what a clown map of the GFS would show . i.e toilet paper at this lead time. I guess it shows potential
  13. At least there appears to be some action this week Should be fun to see the emotions
  14. Not a bad plan . I would say 50 and Sun and then enjoy any slop of frozen variety
  15. Ya watch that high position should start sliding east with each euro run when we are 90 hours out
  16. 6z nam maybe but 12z nam is OTC for Ack and the hi-res is less than an inch of snow James was calling for 2’ again “just offshore “ . It’s like Bruce schwoegler forecasting on bath salts or crank.
  17. From a seasonal perspective, Is that like saying a hamburger from McDonald’s is “healthier” than other fast food places, or is it a big difference in end results seems like LR forecasting is like a puzzle with 100 pieces, decades ago we could put together about 10, now maybe 50 ..but the end result is still poor on average and given the complexity...we may never have a handle on more than 60
  18. Scott would you say this potential over running sets up a higher chance for a ice storm or two in Nashua
  19. I don’t believe anyone other than maybe Ray was believing the 6 weeks in middle of winter would blow and if they did they had no confidence in a back end winter “again” and thus would have Been calling for a high chance of below normal snow that being said , I’ll take my approximately 40” over last winters bi-weekly rains
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