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Brick Tamland

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Posts posted by Brick Tamland

  1. So, the January 2000 Carolina Crusher happened because the models showed the track of the system was too far off the coast, meaning no precip. This one the models say will be too far inland, causing the air to warm too much for snow. 

  2. 8 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

    Most of NC= Raleigh 

    No, besides the mountains, most of NC is not getting pure snow. Most of NC will get sleet, freezing rain, and rain if the forecast is right. I usually do better than Raleigh with snow because I am further north. 

    • Thanks 2
  3. 6 minutes ago, msuwx said:

    It’s weird to me how this board can be lit up like a Christmas tree analyzing the Day 8 NAVGEM, but now that a major storm is about to hit many, many people in the region, the post frequency tails off.

    Is it because the storm isn’t producing pure snow for many? Eastern NC getting the short end of the stick?

    To me, this is pretty easily the most significant winter storm, per capita, in a few years. 

    I think it's simply because most of NC isn't getting pure snow, and half the posters are from here. They checked out and are looking for the next storm.

    • Like 6
  4. 11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

    This one interests me a lot. For one, it’s a southern stream system. We are not relying on the northern stream to dump it far enough south. Also, it has ample cold air to work with. And for now, there appears to be blocking showing up north of it. As good a long range look as you can ask for at this point. Hopefully we start to see some agreement in the coming days 

    Yeah, hopefully it doesn't go to crap like tomorrow's storm. That one looked good just 6 days out, too. 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  5. 5 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

    From GSP AFD 

    "In classic Carolina winter storm fashion, cold air will be
    reinforced, if not enhanced Sunday morning by developing classical
    (or at least strong hybrid) cold air damming, as 1030-ish mb surface
    high pressure moves into New England beneath confluent upper flow."
    

    I know some are disappointed but for the older ones on the board, this is a classic SE winter storm that we experienced so often in the 60's, 70's, and 80's.  Unless you were in the mountain, you got a few inches of snow, followed by sleet, and then freezing rain.  You wake up the next day to a winter wonderland with the pines all encrusted in snow and ice.  

    I remember those storms well growing up in Durham in the 80s. But today those storms usually end here as more rain than anything else. 

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