Wonderdog

Just so a couple of snowflakes in Springfield Car temp 48ﾟ

Heavy rain in Gainesville  70°

Everytime we hit 70 in early March, it snows within a week. 

28 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

That makes 118 inches of digital snow since 1 Dec.  Still virtually shoveling.  Don’t need anymore...oh what the hell

One more time brother. 

48 minutes ago, frd said:

Excellent. All we need now is a drying  trend.  The last 18 months has been too wet.  I request normal temps and less high rainfall events. 

Huge failure for digital snowfall this month. ⁷

What a waste of output from the EPS and the GEFS regarding snowfall potential.  Should ban the Euro control and the Para.  

Agree with most, but let's keep posting those Kuchera maps.

Sprinkles beginning in Gainesville,  45°. Looking forward to seeing some wet snow mixing in at around 9:30 tonight (according to future radar).

49 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

That’s guaranteed to hold and trend better because it’s rain.  And I will jackpot for the same reason.  

What would you say if I told you that I am not putting away the toy until after that event clears the east coast?

14 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Nice coastal per Euro day 7/8 . A few good hits in the Eps . Something to watch .

 

Ninjd 

I like the overrunning situation around March 1 on GFS. We're on the warm side of it today but maybe we can catch a break. Be nice if the dethroned king is sniffing this out first.

Rain and the occasional snow 31°in Gainesville. 

Freezing rain in Gainesville 29ﾟ

Snow and sleet   Can in Reston 31ﾟ

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Good to see you back. I dunno about the Monmouth comp.  There is some degree of bad luck here. Not denying that.  So your point isn’t totally wrong. But able averages across that country range from about 24-28” in most places.  I grew up in NJ. I would choose that area over DC or Balt for snow 9/10 times. 

DCs snow climo is similar to along the pink/orange line and Baltimore’s is closer to somewhere in the northern side of the Orange zone.  Those areas haven’t been doing that good wrt snow recently either.  Same sharp cutoff there too!

 

I grew up in South Jersey and recall the occasional big coastals that were usually very wet, being 30 or so miles from the beach. They must account for, in my mind, the higher average snowfall amounts mentioned above for my county that surprises me. But my memory may be failing me.

2 hours ago, BristowWx said:

I noticed the WSW were dropped for many.  Dodged that bullet thankfully.  The WWA is like a comfortable shoe.  Reliable and easy 

And we're used to it.

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

This is the one. Sure that max will stay right where it is for 219 more hours.

GFS has something similar but it's a close miss.

24° sleet with no snowflakes in sight in Gainesville and Manassas. 

6 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

90% of VA under a warning.  That’s a rare look 

Do you like the trends today?

Nice to see a Gulf lp "modeled" to pass to our south and east.

10 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It seems to be moving towards that camp.

This is one thing I have noticed on the Euro and Para- more of a focus on that vorticity max out ahead.

Are you referring to the vortices in both Carolinas and VA?

12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

What’s the time for onset on the euro? On pivotal you only get 6 hr increments. I can see it’s sometime between 6 and 12z on Thursday 

Thought it was a little earlier. 

So did it hold serve, improve a bit,  or regress?

Would be nice if 12z runs show a continued trend. I think the EURO showed snow at the start of the Thursday storm a few days ago. Upcoming 12z run may be the most important run of the winter for the MA.

Just now, BristowWx said:

Fair enough.  You got me.  Damn you Wdg

It is actually looking very winter-like, without the snow. I'll take it.

28 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I thought I was imagining that.  But I am pretty sure it’s snow grains.  But I don’t think that is right it just looks like that 

Why do you want it to snow when you don't even know what it looks like?

Radar says it's snowing  but it must be aloft. 

Back in Gainesville 27° with light rain and the beloved sleet pellet. Occasional sleet pellet.